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Philippines. Governor's Cup. Pasay
Philippines. Governor's Cup. Pasay
02.08.2026 09:15 UTC
02.08.2026 09:15 UTC
Not started

Philippines. Governor's Cup. Pasay

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts

Basketball
R
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
- : -
Not started
Meralco Bolts
Meralco Bolts

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters face Meralco Bolts on August 2, 2026 in the Philippines. Governor's Cup. Pasay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 3-0-2, Meralco Bolts 2-0-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters — 53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters): model 60% · market 54% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters53.1%
2 · Meralco Bolts46.9%

Model estimate: win Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 53.1%, win Meralco Bolts 46.9%. Model favourite — Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters (odds1.77) Score 81:79 Under 208.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +2.5 (odds1.85) confidence 53%
  • • Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt
  • • — Meralko Bolts (basketball)
  • • Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • Meralko Bolts: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 2.07→1.72 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.: probability 53% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 208.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 208.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +2.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.72 / 2 2.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 53.8%
2 46.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.07 ↓ 1.72
Pobeditel P2 1.67 ↑ 2.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 09:15 UTC
Market 1 53.8% @ 1.72 / 2 46.2% @ 2.00
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 52.6% 53.1% market and model agree
Meralco Bolts 47.4% 46.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 53.1% / 46.9% probabilities
Rating 1,506 / 1,256 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters / Meralco Bolts
RD 176 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,155-1,857 / 917-1,594 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: P1 | odds 1.83 | edge 7.7% | ROI 9.7% | BetBoom

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 Fonbet · no value · model 46.9%
1 1.72 Fonbet · no value · model 53.1%
Total
Over 208.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 210.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.90 52.6% —
1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 208.5 — — 1.85 54.1% —
Over 210.5 — — 1.85 54.1% —
Over 212.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
Under 208.5 — — 1.85 54.1% —
Under 210.5 — — 1.85 54.1% —
Under 212.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5%
1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5%
Match center
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
W W W L L
2026-07-31 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 98:97 Magnolia Hotshots
2026-07-26 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Ginebra San Miguel 99:110 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
2026-07-21 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Phoenix Fuel Masters 98:105 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
2026-07-18 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 114:122 Meralco Bolts
2026-07-11 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Blackwater Bossing 131:108 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
3 Wins
2 Losses
107.0 Scored
109.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Meralco Bolts
L L W W L
2026-07-31 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Meralco Bolts 75:84 Ginebra San Miguel Meralco Bolts
2026-07-24 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Magnolia Hotshots 112:98 Meralco Bolts Meralco Bolts
2026-07-21 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Meralco Bolts 116:114 Blackwater Bossing Meralco Bolts
2026-07-18 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 114:122 Meralco Bolts Meralco Bolts
2026-07-15 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Meralco Bolts 97:98 Phoenix Fuel Masters Meralco Bolts
2 Wins
3 Losses
101.6 Scored
104.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
2 matches total
Meralco Bolts
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Meralco Bolts: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Meralco Bolts 114:122 (2026-07-18) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 236 goals (114:122, 2026-07-18) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-18 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 114:122 Meralco Bolts
18.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.
114:122
Meralko Bolts