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Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

28.05.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction

28.05.2026 16:15 UTC

Finished

Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Arka Gdynya - Zelena Gura

Basketball

Arka Gdynya

83 : 85

Finished

Zelena Gura

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arka Gdynya - Zelena Gura May 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zelena Gura. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / 2 1.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 10.8%

1 16.4%

2 83.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Arka Gdynya

Main outcome Arka Gdynya

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Arka Gdynya

4-6LLLWWWLLLW

points for 82.0points against 84.2

Zelena Gura

4-1LWWWW

points for 87.4points against 80.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Polsat Plus Arena Gdynia (Gdynya)

Referee Liszka W. 🇵🇱 - Proc M. 🇵🇱 - Pacek P. 🇵🇱

Attendance 2 543

Start 28.05.2026 16:15 UTC

Match center

Arka Gdynya - Zelena Gura

Array

Form 3/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 83:85

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.08 Fonbet · line only

1 5.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 150.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Over 151.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.40 41.7%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.37 73.0%
	1.28 78.1%
	1.42 70.4%
	1.33 75.2%
	1.92 52.1%
	2.02 49.5%
	1.88 53.2%
	2.70 37.0%
	1.83 54.6%
	2.18 45.9%
	1.43 69.9%
	2.75 36.4%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 150.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 151.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 152.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 153.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 154.5	1.82 55.0%
Over 155.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 156.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 157.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 158.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 159.5	1.30 76.9%
Over 160.5	1.38 72.5%
Over 161.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 162.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 163.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 164.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 165.5	2.40 41.7%
Over 166.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5	1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	5.50 18.2%
	1.08 92.6%

Match center

Arka Gdynya

L W W

26.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Arka Gdynya 64:90 Zelena Gura

20.05 14:00 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Arka Gdynya 86:84 Shlensk Vrotslav

18.05 14:00 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Arka Gdynya 86:75 Shlensk Vrotslav

2 Wins

1 Losses

78.7 Scored

83.0 Conceded

67% Win percentage

Zelena Gura

W W W

26.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Zelena Gura 90:64 Arka Gdynya

20.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Zelena Gura 86:80 Schechin

18.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Zelena Gura 84:70 Schechin

3 Wins

0 Losses

86.7 Scored

71.3 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyArka Gdynya - Zelena Gura

Arka Gdynya

1 matches total

Zelena Gura

Arka Gdynya: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Zelena Gura: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Zelena Gura 64:90 (26.05 16:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 154 goals (64:90, 26.05 16:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

26.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Arka Gdynya

64:90

Zelena Gura

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Arka Gdynya

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Zelena Gura

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Legiya 3:1 (9) Dabrova Gornicha

1/4 (4) Trefl Sopot streak (5) Dziki Warsaw

1/4 (3) Shlensk Vrotslav streak (6) Arka Gdynya

1/4 (2) Schechin streak (8) Zelena Gura