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Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
12.06.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
12.06.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Dziki Varshava - Arka Gdynya

Basketball
Dziki Varshava
Dziki Varshava
92 : 78
Finished
Arka Gdynya
Arka Gdynya

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dziki Varshava - Arka Gdynya June 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Dziki Varshava. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 1.2%
1 69.1%
2 30.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Dziki Varshava
#548 ptsGP 3018-12
Arka Gdynya
#648 ptsGP 3018-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

6Wins1
87.7Points on average78.6

Head-to-head matches: 7 · average total 166.3 (points)

Team form

Dziki Varshava
4-6WLWLWWLLLL
points for 84.0points against 85.8
Arka Gdynya
4-6LLLWWWLLLW
points for 82.0points against 84.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Dvorets sporta (Varshava)
Referee Pastusiak P. 🇵🇱 - Kuzia M. 🇵🇱 - Kucharski B. 🇵🇱
Start 12.06.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Dziki Varshava - Arka Gdynya

Array

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.03 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 101.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.65 37.7%
2.20 45.5%
2.03 49.3%
2.65 37.7%
1.85 54.1%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.60 62.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.40 71.4%
2.35 42.6%
2.35 42.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.57 63.7%
1.46 68.5%
2.15 46.5%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 101.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 159.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 160.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 161.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 162.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 163.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 164.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 165.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 166.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 167.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 168.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 169.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 170.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 171.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 172.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 173.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 174.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 175.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betcity Betfair
1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4%
3.05 32.8% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%
Match center
Dziki Varshava
L L L W W
01.06 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 78:91 LegiyaLegiya
29.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 76:78 LegiyaLegiya
27.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 80:98 LegiyaLegiya
21.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 88:73 Trefl Sopot
19.05 14:00 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 85:78 Trefl Sopot
2 Wins
3 Losses
81.4 Scored
83.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Arka Gdynya
L L W W
28.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Arka Gdynya 83:85 Zelena GuraZelena Gura
26.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Arka Gdynya 64:90 Zelena GuraZelena Gura
20.05 14:00 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Arka Gdynya 86:84 Shlensk VrotslavShlensk Vrotslav
18.05 14:00 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Arka Gdynya 86:75 Shlensk VrotslavShlensk Vrotslav
2 Wins
2 Losses
79.8 Scored
83.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Dziki Varshava
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Arka Gdynya

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Legiya 3:1 (9) Dabrova Gornicha
1/4 (4) Trefl Sopot streak (5) Dziki Warsaw
1/4 (3) Shlensk Vrotslav streak (6) Arka Gdynya
1/4 (2) Schechin streak (8) Zelena Gura