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Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
10.06.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
10.06.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Legiya - Zelena Gura

Basketball
Legiya
Legiya
104 : 82
Finished
Zelena Gura
Zelena Gura

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Legiya - Zelena Gura June 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Legiya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

11Wins8
57.9%Win %42.1%
85.8Points per game83.2
99.9Offensive rating114.0
96.9Defensive rating117.5
2.6Point differential-2.6
53.5Assists53.5
103.7Rebounds101.4
36.4%3-pointers, %37.4%

Team form

Legiya
Overall WWWWW Net +8.9
Home WW Net +11.1
Away WWWW Net +7.1
Zelena Gura
Overall LWWWW Net +14.8
Home LWWW Net +20.0
Away WW Net +9.1

Team stats

Legiya Overall · Home/Away Zelena Gura
61.5%H 66.7% · A 57.1%Win %73.7%H 80.0% · A 66.7%
8.9H 11.1 · A 7.1Point differential14.8H 20.0 · A 9.1
84.7H 86.9 · A 82.7Points per game87.4H 87.4 · A 87.5
80.2H 81.4 · A 79.2Conceded80.0H 77.4 · A 82.9
48.7%H 48.6% · A 48.8%FG, %47.7%H 48.1% · A 47.3%
56.4H 72.2 · A 42.91st half65.8H 75.0 · A 55.6
74.8H 75.6 · A 74.1Pace76.3H 77.1 · A 75.4
113.2H 112.2 · A 114.2Offensive rating114.3H 113.1 · A 115.6
107.3H 106.3 · A 108.2Defensive rating104.6H 103.5 · A 105.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Legiya Total (over) Zelena Gura
84.7 Points per game 87.4
56.4%
O 82.5
68.4%
56.4%
O 83.5
65.8%
53.8%
O 84.5
55.3%
48.7%
O 85.5
55.3%
35.9%
O 86.5srednee
55.3%
35.9%
O 87.5
52.6%
33.3%
O 88.5
47.4%
30.8%
O 89.5
42.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Legiya Total (over) Zelena Gura
2.6%
O 101.5
0.0%
2.6%
O 102.5
0.0%
2.6%
O 103.5
0.0%
2.6%
O 104.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Legiya 42.5 / Zelena Gura 44.7

Legiya Total (over) Zelena Gura
53.8%
O 42.5
65.8%
43.6%
O 43.5srednee
52.6%
38.5%
O 44.5
42.1%
35.9%
O 45.5
39.5%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Legiya 41.6 / Zelena Gura 42.2

Legiya Total (over) Zelena Gura
51.3%
O 40.5
63.2%
46.2%
O 41.5srednee
52.6%
35.9%
O 42.5
50.0%
30.8%
O 43.5
42.1%

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Match center
Stadium Bemovo (Varshava)
Referee Pastusiak P. 🇵🇱 - Jankowski L. 🇵🇱 - Chrakowiecki M. 🇵🇱
Attendance 1 991
Start 10.06.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Legiya - Zelena Gura

Array

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 105.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 110.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.37 42.2%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
2.70 37.0%
2.35 42.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.72 58.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.35 74.1%
2.37 42.2%
2.02 49.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 105.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 110.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 156.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 157.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 158.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 159.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 160.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 161.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 162.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 163.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 164.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 165.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 166.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 167.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 168.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 169.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 170.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 171.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.42 70.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.01 99.0% 1.44 69.4%
2.65 37.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.65 37.7% 11.00 9.1% 2.75 36.4%
Match center
Legiya
L W W W W
08.06 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Legiya 74:77 Zelena GuraZelena Gura
01.06 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Legiya 91:78 Dziki VarshavaDziki Varshava
29.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Legiya 78:76 Dziki VarshavaDziki Varshava
27.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Legiya 98:80 Dziki VarshavaDziki Varshava
21.05 14:00 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Legiya 98:86 Dabrova Gornicha
4 Wins
1 Losses
87.8 Scored
79.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Zelena Gura
W W W W W
08.06 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Zelena Gura 77:74 LegiyaLegiya
28.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Zelena Gura 85:83 Arka GdynyaArka Gdynya
26.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Zelena Gura 90:64 Arka GdynyaArka Gdynya
20.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Zelena Gura 86:80 Schechin
18.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Zelena Gura 84:70 Schechin
5 Wins
0 Losses
84.4 Scored
74.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLegiya - Zelena Gura

Legiya
1 matches total
Zelena Gura
Legiya: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Zelena Gura: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Zelena Gura 74:77 (08.06 16:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 151 goals (74:77, 08.06 16:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.06 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Legiya
74:77
Zelena Gura
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Legiya
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Zelena Gura

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Legiya 3:1 (9) Dabrova Gornicha
1/4 (4) Trefl Sopot streak (5) Dziki Warsaw
1/4 (3) Shlensk Vrotslav streak (6) Arka Gdynya
1/4 (2) Schechin streak (8) Zelena Gura