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Portugal: LPB - Playoff
Portugal: LPB - Playoff
09.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika - Portu

Basketball
Benfika
Benfika
98 : 102
Finished
Portu
Portu

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Benfika - Portu June 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Benfika. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / 2 2.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 54.3%
2 45.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

27Wins36
41.5%Win %55.4%
76.3Points per game78.6
105.7Offensive rating117.5
109.0Defensive rating114.0
-2.4Point differential2.4
48.0Assists52.4
95.5Rebounds98.6
33.1%3-pointers, %37.1%

Team form

Benfika
Overall LWWLW Net +13.5
Home WWW Net +24.1
Away LLW Net +3.5
Portu
Overall WWWWW Net +42.4
Home WWWW Net +45.2
Away WW Net +39.2

Team stats

Benfika Overall · Home/Away Portu
69.0%H 85.7% · A 53.3%Win %92.9%H 93.3% · A 92.3%
13.5H 24.1 · A 3.5Point differential42.4H 45.2 · A 39.2
88.3H 89.6 · A 87.1Points per game96.5H 96.1 · A 96.9
81.6H 77.5 · A 85.4Conceded75.3H 73.5 · A 77.2
46.4%H 45.3% · A 47.4%FG, %49.9%H 48.7% · A 51.3%
69.0A 53.31st half—A 76.9
79.1H 78.4 · A 79.7Pace80.7H 80.3 · A 81.1
111.8H 112.5 · A 111.2Offensive rating119.7H 120.5 · A 118.7
103.3H 103.9 · A 102.7Defensive rating93.4H 94.0 · A 92.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Benfika Total (over) Portu
88.3 Points per game 96.5
44.8%
O 88.5
75.0%
44.8%
O 89.5
64.3%
44.8%
O 90.5
60.7%
44.8%
O 91.5
60.7%
44.8%
O 92.5srednee
60.7%
37.9%
O 93.5
60.7%
34.5%
O 94.5
57.1%
31.0%
O 95.5
53.6%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Benfika Total (over) Portu
3.4%
O 105.5
28.6%
3.4%
O 106.5
25.0%
3.4%
O 107.5
17.9%
3.4%
O 108.5
10.7%
3.4%
O 109.5
7.1%
3.4%
O 110.5
7.1%
3.4%
O 111.5
3.6%
3.4%
O 112.5
3.6%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Benfika 45.9 / Portu 49.3

Benfika Total (over) Portu
48.3%
O 46.5
53.6%
48.3%
O 47.5srednee
53.6%
41.4%
O 48.5
53.6%
41.4%
O 49.5
50.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Benfika 42.5 / Portu 47.2

Benfika Total (over) Portu
41.4%
O 43.5
78.6%
41.4%
O 44.5srednee
71.4%
37.9%
O 45.5
64.3%
31.0%
O 46.5
64.3%

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Match center
Stadium Fidelidad (Lissabon)
Referee Silva S. 🇵🇹 - Gouveia J. 🇵🇹 - Oliveyra D. 🇵🇹
Attendance 1 839
Start 09.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Benfika - Portu

Array

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.92 52.1%
1.78 56.2%
1.87 53.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.30 76.9%
1.63 61.4%
1.53 65.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.48 67.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.60 38.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.25 44.4%
2.02 49.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 101.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 102.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 159.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 160.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 161.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 162.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 163.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 164.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 165.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 166.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 167.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 168.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 169.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 170.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 171.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 172.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 173.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet BetBoom Betcity Betfair Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.70 58.8% 1.15 87.0%
6.40 15.6% 6.00 16.7% 6.40 15.6% 6.80 14.7% 5.30 18.9% 2.02 49.5% 5.30 18.9%
Match center
Benfika
W W W
07.06 13:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff
Benfika 89:73 PortuPortu
28.05 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff
Benfika 86:78 Oliveyrense
21.05 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff
Benfika 98:76 Oliveyrense
3 Wins
0 Losses
91.0 Scored
75.7 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Portu
L W L
07.06 13:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff
Portu 73:89 BenfikaBenfika
29.05 17:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff
Portu 86:76 SportingSporting
25.05 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff
Portu 73:88 SportingSporting
1 Wins
2 Losses
77.3 Scored
84.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBenfika - Portu

Benfika
1 matches total
Portu
Benfika: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Portu: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Benfika 89:73 (07.06 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 162 goals (89:73, 07.06 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

07.06 13:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff
Benfika
89:73
Portu
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Benfika
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Portu

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Benfika 2:0 (8) Braga
1/4 (4) Ovarenshe streak (5) Oliveyrense
1/4 (2) Sporting streak (7) Ezhgeyra
1/4 (3) Porto streak (6) Imortal