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Portugal: LPB - Playoff

12.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

12.06.2026 16:00 UTC

Finished

Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu - Benfika

Basketball

Portu

87 : 63

Finished

Benfika

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portu - Benfika June 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Portu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 6.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 11.4%

1 85.5%

2 14.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

27Wins36

76.3Points on average78.6

Head-to-head matches: 63 · average total 154.9 (points)

Team form

Portu

3-2LWWLW

points for 88.3points against 81.6

Benfika

5-0WWWWW

points for 96.5points against 75.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Dragau Arena (Portu)

Referee Teixeira S. 🇵🇹 - Roxo Perdigao T. 🇵🇹 - Anayya Zh. (Pan)

Start 12.06.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Portu - Benfika

Array

Form 4/4 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.20 Fonbet · line only

1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 148.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Over 149.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.35 42.6%
	2.50 40.0%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.60 38.5%
	1.78 56.2%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.82 55.0%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.45 69.0%
	2.35 42.6%
	1.95 51.3%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.70 37.0%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.70 37.0%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.20 45.5%
	1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 148.5	1.30 76.9%
Over 149.5	1.38 72.5%
Over 150.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 151.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 152.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 153.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 154.5	2.17 46.1%
Over 155.5	2.45 40.8%
Over 156.5	2.75 36.4%
Over 157.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 158.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 159.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 160.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 161.5	2.60 38.5%
Over 162.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 163.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 164.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 165.5	2.55 39.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Bettery	Fonbet	Leon
	2.25 44.4%	2.75 36.4%	2.25 44.4%	1.05 95.2%	2.32 43.1%
	1.56 64.1%	1.39 71.9%	1.57 63.7%	6.20 16.1%	1.59 62.9%

Match center

Portu

W L W L

09.06 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu 102:98 Benfika

07.06 13:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu 73:89 Benfika

29.05 17:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu 86:76 Sporting

25.05 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu 73:88 Sporting

2 Wins

2 Losses

83.5 Scored

87.8 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Benfika

L W W W

09.06 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika 98:102 Portu

07.06 13:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika 89:73 Portu

28.05 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika 86:78 Oliveyrense

21.05 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika 98:76 Oliveyrense

3 Wins

1 Losses

92.8 Scored

82.3 Conceded

75% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPortu - Benfika

Portu

2 matches total

Benfika

Portu: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Benfika: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Benfika 73:89 (07.06 13:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 200 goals (102:98, 09.06 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

09.06 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu

102:98

Benfika

07.06 13:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu

73:89

Benfika

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Portu

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Benfika

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Benfika 2:0 (8) Braga

1/4 (4) Ovarenshe streak (5) Oliveyrense

1/4 (2) Sporting streak (7) Ezhgeyra

1/4 (3) Porto streak (6) Imortal