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Primera FEB
Primera FEB Spain
08.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
08.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Primera FEB

Spain

Palencia Baloncesto - CD Estela

Spain Basketball
Palencia Baloncesto
Palencia Baloncesto
100 : 70
Finished
CD Estela
CD Estela

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Palencia Baloncesto - CD Estela May 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Palencia Baloncesto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Palencia Baloncesto - CD Estela

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.20 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Over 154.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.91 52.4%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 156 1.85 54.1% —
Over 157.5 — 1.72 58.3%
Over 157.75 — 1.80 55.7%
Over 158.25 — 1.81 55.2%
Over 158.5 — 1.92 52.1%
Over 160.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 163.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 164 1.77 56.5% —
Over 165.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 170 1.90 52.6% —
Over 171 1.85 54.1% —
Under 156 1.85 54.1% —
Under 160.5 1.83 54.6% —
Under 163.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 164 1.95 51.3% —
Under 165.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 170 1.80 55.6% —
Under 171 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.4% 1.00 99.9% 1.04 96.2% 1.00 99.9% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1%
11.00 9.1% 8.10 12.4% 34.00 2.9% 9.00 11.1% 21.00 4.8% 11.00 9.1% 17.00 5.9% 11.70 8.6% 10.00 10.0%
Match center
Palencia Baloncesto
W
02.05 17:00 UTC Primera FEB
Palencia Baloncesto 82:72 Basket Cartagena
1 Wins
0 Losses
82.0 Scored
72.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
CD Estela
L W W
02.05 17:00 UTC Primera FEB
CD Estela 65:95 Monbus Obradoiro
26.04 10:30 UTC Primera FEB
CD Estela 89:86 CB Zamora
11.04 17:00 UTC Primera FEB
CD Estela 72:67 Club Ourense Baloncesto
2 Wins
1 Losses
75.3 Scored
82.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage