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PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

28.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

28.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Finished

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

Basketball

Santeros de Aguada

93 : 70

Finished

Leones de Ponce

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Leones de Ponce — 54%

1 · Santeros de Aguada46.3%

2 · Leones de Ponce53.7%

Model estimate: win Santeros de Aguada 46.3%, win Leones de Ponce 53.7%. Model favourite — Leones de Ponce.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Leones de Ponce (odds2.15) Score 79:81 confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed

• Aguada Santeros: forma VVPPP (2-3)
• Leones Ponse: forma PPVVV (3-2)
• ochnye 2-1 (za 3)
• Model backs Leones Ponse: probability 54% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.15)
• edge over the line +7 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Santeros de Aguada.

Line favourite market consensus: Santeros de Aguada. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / 2 2.90
Glicko: Santeros de Aguada 46.3% / Leones de Ponce 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 68.1%

2 31.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 93:70

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 53.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.576 / LogLoss 0.769

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 51.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.530 / LogLoss 0.723

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Santeros de Aguada 68.1% 46.3% market favourite

Leones de Ponce 31.9% 53.7% Glicko contrarian

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 46.3% / 53.7% probabilities

Rating 1,403 / 1,561 Santeros de Aguada / Leones de Ponce

RD 117 / 121 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,168-1,638 / 1,318-1,803 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.90 market consensus · weak value +55.6% · model 53.7%

1 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 46.3%

Total

Over 179.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Over 181.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity
	1.80 55.6%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome	Betcity
Over 179.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 181.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 183.5	1.82 55.0%
Over 186.5	1.82 55.0%
Under 179.5	1.83 54.6%
Under 181.5	1.83 54.6%
Under 183.5	1.88 53.2%
Under 186.5	1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Betcity
	1.36 73.5%
	2.90 34.5%

Match center

Santeros de Aguada

W W L L L

27.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:70 Leones Ponse

25.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:70 Leones Ponse

19.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

17.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

15.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

2 Wins

3 Losses

93.0 Scored

88.0 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Leones de Ponce

L L W W W

27.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 70:93 Aguada Santeros

25.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 70:93 Aguada Santeros

18.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 98:92 San-Kherman

16.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 98:92 San-Kherman

14.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 95:91 San-Kherman

3 Wins

2 Losses

86.2 Scored

92.2 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySanteros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

Santeros de Aguada

2 matches total

Leones de Ponce

Santeros de Aguada: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Leones de Ponce: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Aguada Santeros 93:70 (27.07 22:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 163 goals (93:70, 27.07 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

27.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Aguada Santeros

93:70

Leones Ponse

25.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Aguada Santeros

93:70

Leones Ponse