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PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

02.08.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction

02.08.2026 00:00 UTC

Finished

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

Basketball

Santeros de Aguada

93 : 70

Finished

Leones de Ponce

Santeros de Aguada meet Leones de Ponce on August 2, 2026 in the PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff.

Recent form (W-D-L): Santeros de Aguada 4-0-1, Leones de Ponce 1-0-4. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 59% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Santeros de Aguada — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Santeros de Aguada): model 46% · market 62% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Santeros de Aguada59.1%

market62%

2 · Leones de Ponce40.9%

market38%

Model estimate: win Santeros de Aguada 59.1%, win Leones de Ponce 40.9%. Model favourite — Santeros de Aguada.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Santeros de Aguada (odds1.51) Score 81:79 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct

• Aguada Santeros: forma VVVVP (4-1)
• Leones Ponse: forma PPPPV (1-4)
• ochnye 3-0 (za 3)
• Model backs Aguada Santeros: probability 59% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Santeros de Aguada.

Line favourite market consensus: Santeros de Aguada. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / 2 2.55
Glicko: Santeros de Aguada 59.1% / Leones de Ponce 40.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 4.2%

1 62.3%

2 37.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 02.08.2026 00:00 UTC

Market 1 62.3% @ 1.54 / 2 37.7% @ 2.55

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 93:70

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.1% fact: home hit / ROI 54.0% / Brier 0.335 / LogLoss 0.526

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.6% fact: home hit / ROI 54.0% / Brier 0.430 / LogLoss 0.623

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Santeros de Aguada 60.1% 59.1% market and model agree

Leones de Ponce 40.0% 40.9%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 59.1% / 40.9% probabilities

Rating 1,403 / 1,561 Santeros de Aguada / Leones de Ponce

RD 118 / 122 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,167-1,639 / 1,317-1,804 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.38 market consensus · no value · model 40.9%

1 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 59.1%

Total

Over 182.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Under 182.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
1.80 55.6%	1.81 55.3%	—
—	—	1.84 54.4%
1.88 53.2%	1.89 52.9%	—
—	—	1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
Over 182.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%
Under 182.5	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.53 65.4%	1.54 64.9%	1.46 68.5%
	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.55 39.2%

Match center

Santeros de Aguada

W W W W L

01.08 00:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:70 Leones Ponse

29.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:70 Leones Ponse

27.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:70 Leones Ponse

25.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:70 Leones Ponse

19.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

4 Wins

1 Losses

93.0 Scored

76.0 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Leones de Ponce

L L L L W

01.08 00:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 70:93 Aguada Santeros

29.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 70:93 Aguada Santeros

27.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 70:93 Aguada Santeros

25.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 70:93 Aguada Santeros

18.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 98:92 San-Kherman

1 Wins

4 Losses

75.6 Scored

92.8 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySanteros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

Santeros de Aguada

3 matches total

Leones de Ponce

Santeros de Aguada: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Leones de Ponce: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Aguada Santeros 93:70 (01.08 00:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 163 goals (93:70, 01.08 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

01.08 00:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Aguada Santeros

93:70

Leones Ponse

29.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Aguada Santeros

93:70

Leones Ponse

27.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Aguada Santeros

93:70

Leones Ponse