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PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
28.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Vakeros de Bayamon - Criollos de Caguas

Basketball
Vakeros de Bayamon
Vakeros de Bayamon
78 : 74
Finished
Criollos de Caguas
Criollos de Caguas
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Vakeros de Bayamon — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Vakeros de Bayamon): model 56% · market 61% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vakeros de Bayamon ✓ Pick60.3%
market61%
2 · Criollos de Caguas39.7%
market39%

Model estimate: win Vakeros de Bayamon 60.3%, win Criollos de Caguas 39.7%. Model favourite — Vakeros de Bayamon.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vakeros de Bayamon (odds1.45) Score 81:79 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Vakeros de Bayamon: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Criollos de Caguas: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • ochnye 2-0 (za 2)
  • • Model backs Vakeros de Bayamon: probability 59% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vakeros de Bayamon - Criollos de Caguas July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vakeros de Bayamon.

Line favourite market consensus: Vakeros de Bayamon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / 2 2.40
  • Glicko: Vakeros de Bayamon 60.3% / Criollos de Caguas 39.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 ✓ Pick 61.1%
2 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Vakeros de Bayamon - Criollos de Caguas

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 78:74
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.3% fact: home hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.316 / LogLoss 0.506
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.1% fact: home hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.421 / LogLoss 0.614
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vakeros de Bayamon 60.6% 60.3% market and model agree
Criollos de Caguas 39.4% 39.7%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 60.3% / 39.7% probabilities
Rating 1,747 / 1,652 Vakeros de Bayamon / Criollos de Caguas
RD 134 / 105 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,479-2,015 / 1,441-1,863 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.36 market consensus · no value · model 39.7%
1 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 60.3%
Total
Over 172.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Over 174.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— — 1.48 67.6%
1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% —
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1%
— 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0%
— 1.90 52.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% —
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0%
— 1.84 54.4% 1.89 52.9%
— 1.80 55.6% —
— — 2.47 40.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 172.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 174.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
Over 176.5 — 1.82 55.0%
Over 177.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 178.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Over 180.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
Under 172.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 174.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
Under 176.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Under 177.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 178.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 180.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2%
2.33 42.9% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7%
Match center
Vakeros de Bayamon
W W W W W
26.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Vakeros de Bayamon 78:74 Criollos de CaguasCriollos de Caguas
24.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Vakeros de Bayamon 78:74 Criollos de CaguasCriollos de Caguas
17.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Vakeros de Bayamon 72:68 Gigantes de KarolinaGigantes de Karolina
15.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Vakeros de Bayamon 72:68 Gigantes de KarolinaGigantes de Karolina
13.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Vakeros de Bayamon 101:78 Gigantes de KarolinaGigantes de Karolina
5 Wins
0 Losses
80.2 Scored
72.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Criollos de Caguas
L L W W W
26.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Criollos de Caguas 74:78 Vakeros de BayamonVakeros de Bayamon
24.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Criollos de Caguas 74:78 Vakeros de BayamonVakeros de Bayamon
20.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Criollos de Caguas 95:78 Kangrekheros de SanturseKangrekheros de Santurse
18.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Criollos de Caguas 95:78 Kangrekheros de SanturseKangrekheros de Santurse
16.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Criollos de Caguas 95:78 Kangrekheros de SanturseKangrekheros de Santurse
3 Wins
2 Losses
86.6 Scored
78.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVakeros de Bayamon - Criollos de Caguas

Vakeros de Bayamon
2 matches total
Criollos de Caguas
Vakeros de Bayamon: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Criollos de Caguas: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Vakeros de Bayamon 78:74 (26.07 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 152 goals (78:74, 26.07 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

26.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Vakeros de Bayamon
78:74
Criollos de Caguas
24.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Vakeros de Bayamon
78:74
Criollos de Caguas