Vakeros de Bayamon face Criollos de Caguas on August 2, 2026 in the PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff.
Recent form (W-D-L): Vakeros de Bayamon 5-0-0, Criollos de Caguas 1-0-4. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 70% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Vakeros de Bayamon — 70%
Pure model vs market (1 · Vakeros de Bayamon): model 56% · market 70%Δ −14 ppmodel estimates below the market
70%1
1 · Vakeros de Bayamon ✓ Pick70.1%
market70%
2 · Criollos de Caguas29.9%
market30%
Model estimate: win Vakeros de Bayamon 70.1%, win Criollos de Caguas 29.9%. Model favourite — Vakeros de Bayamon.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Criollos de Caguas (odds2.20)Score 79:81confidence 51%✓ outcome correct
•Criollos de Caguas: forma PPPVV (2-3)
•Vakeros de Bayamon: forma VVVVV (5-0)
•ochnye 0-3 (za 3)
•Model backs Vakeros de Bayamon: probability 51% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
•edge over the line +6 pp — value pick.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vakeros de Bayamon - Criollos de Caguas August 2, 2026
Basketball math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vakeros de Bayamon.
Line favourite market consensus: Vakeros de Bayamon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / 2 3.20
Glicko: Vakeros de Bayamon 70.1% / Criollos de Caguas 29.9%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 ✓ Pick70.0%
230.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:1/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated30.07.2026 17:45 UTC
158%✓ favourite
242%
Score89:84Total points: TM 177.5Bet:F1(-2.5)
Per AI dataForm:LWLWW / WLWWWH2H: 1:2Injuries:noKey:home court advantage
AI
1
2
Score
Total points
Bet
Google AI
58%
42%
89:84
TM 177.5
F1(-2.5)
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Start02.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market1 70.0% @ 1.37 / 2 30.0% @ 3.20
Form6 matches
H2H3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsVakeros de Bayamon 58%
📐 Math modelVakeros de Bayamon 70%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Vakeros de Bayamon - Criollos de Caguas
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H3
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsH2HLineOverview
More needed
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
MovementLine history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score74:78
Events0
Statistics0
Lineups0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 65.6% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.860 / LogLoss 1.066
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 56.2% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.632 / LogLoss 0.826
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Vakeros de Bayamon71.1%70.1%market and model agree
Criollos de Caguas28.9%29.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P270.1% / 29.9%
probabilities
Rating1,747 / 1,652
Vakeros de Bayamon / Criollos de Caguas
RD134 / 106
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,478-2,016 / 1,440-1,864
strength interval
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
23.09
market consensus · no value · model 29.9%
11.32
market consensus · no value · model 70.1%
Total
Over 173.51.82
market consensus · line only
Over 175.51.83
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
We use cookies to run the site and to understand how it’s used. Click “Accept all” to agree, or set your choice with “Cookie settings”. Read our cookie policy.
Gigantes de Karolina
Kangrekheros de Santurse