PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

17.07.2026 01:00 MSK Match prediction

17.07.2026 01:00 MSK

Finished

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo - Santeros de Aguada

Basketball

Capitanes de Arecibo

100 : 93

Finished

Santeros de Aguada

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Santeros de Aguada — 58%

1 · Capitanes de Arecibo42.5%

2 · Santeros de Aguada ✓ Прогноз57.5%

Model estimate: win Capitanes de Arecibo 42.5%, win Santeros de Aguada 57.5%. Model favourite — Santeros de Aguada.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Santeros de Aguada (odds1.74) Score 79:81 confidence 58% ✗ outcome missed

• Капитанес Де Арекибо: форма ППВПП (1-4)
• Агуада Сантерос: форма ВВПВП (3-2)
• очные 1-2 (за 3)
• Модель ставит на Агуада Сантерос: вероятность 58% против 57% по линии (кэф 1.74)
✓ лёгкий перевес +0 пп над линией.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Capitanes de Arecibo - Santeros de Aguada 17 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Capitanes de Arecibo.

Line favourite market consensus: Capitanes de Arecibo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / 2 2.03
Glicko: Capitanes de Arecibo 42.5% / Santeros de Aguada 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 54.4%

2 ✓ Прогноз 45.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.07.2026 01:00 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Capitanes de Arecibo - Santeros de Aguada

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 4/4 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Present in data

Form Match Participants H2H Overview

More needed

Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Line BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 100:93

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Capitanes de Arecibo - 42.5%

Santeros de Aguada - 57.5% model pick

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 42.5% / 57.5% probabilities

Rating 1,179 / 1,392 Capitanes de Arecibo / Santeros de Aguada

RD 128 / 122 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 924-1,434 / 1,147-1,636 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.03 market consensus · value +16.8% · model 57.5%

1 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 42.5%

Total

Over 179.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Over 181.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity
П1 +1.5	1.85 54.1%
П1 -1.5	1.81 55.3%
П1 -2.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 +1.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 +2.5	1.81 55.3%
П2 -1.5	1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome	Betcity
ТБ 179.5	1.88 53.2%
ТБ 181.5	1.90 52.6%
ТБ 183.5	1.86 53.8%
ТМ 179.5	1.82 55.0%
ТМ 181.5	1.80 55.6%
ТМ 183.5	1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Betcity
П1	1.70 58.8%
П2	2.03 49.3%

Match center

Capitanes de Arecibo

W L L W

16.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo 100:93 Aguada Santeros

14.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo 86:98 Aguada Santeros

12.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo 79:83 Aguada Santeros

10.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo 101:98 Aguada Santeros

2 Wins

2 Losses

91.5 Scored

93.0 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Santeros de Aguada

L W W L

16.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

14.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 98:86 Kapitanes De Arekibo

12.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 83:79 Kapitanes De Arekibo

10.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 98:101 Kapitanes De Arekibo

2 Wins

2 Losses

93.0 Scored

91.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCapitanes de Arecibo - Santeros de Aguada

Capitanes de Arecibo

3 matches total

Santeros de Aguada

Capitanes de Arecibo: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Santeros de Aguada: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Aguada Santeros 86:98 (14.07 01:00 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 193 goals (100:93, 16.07 01:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

16.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Kapitanes De Arekibo

100:93

Aguada Santeros

14.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Kapitanes De Arekibo

86:98

Aguada Santeros

12.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Kapitanes De Arekibo

79:83

Aguada Santeros