PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Criollos de Caguas - Cangrejeros de Santurce
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Criollos de Caguas — 61%
Pure model vs market (1 · Criollos de Caguas): model 55% · market 66% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Criollos de Caguas 60.9%, win Cangrejeros de Santurce 39.1%. Model favourite — Criollos de Caguas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Criollos de Caguas - Cangrejeros de Santurce 14 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Criollos de Caguas.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / 2 2.75
- Glicko: Criollos de Caguas 60.9% / Cangrejeros de Santurce 39.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Criollos de Caguas - Cangrejeros de Santurce
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 2 очных встреч.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| П1 -1.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% |
| П1 -3.5 | — | 1.81 55.3% |
| П1 -4.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% |
| П1 -6.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +3.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +6.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.81 55.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 192.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 193.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| ТБ 195.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 196.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| ТБ 197.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТМ 192.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТМ 193.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| ТМ 195.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТМ 196.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| ТМ 197.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.38 72.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.41 70.9% |
| П2 | 2.73 36.6% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% |
Criollos de Caguas
Kangrekheros de Santurse
Kangrekheros de Santurse
Cangrejeros de Santurce
Criollos de Caguas
Criollos de Caguas
Full head-to-head historyCriollos de Caguas - Cangrejeros de Santurce
Match history