PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Regatas de San Nicolas - Vaqueros de Bayamon
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Regatas de San Nicolas — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Regatas de San Nicolas): model 43% · market 58% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Regatas de San Nicolas 56.2%, win Vaqueros de Bayamon 43.8%. Model favourite — Regatas de San Nicolas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Regatas de San Nicolas - Vaqueros de Bayamon 15 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Regatas de San Nicolas.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / 2 2.22
- Glicko: Regatas de San Nicolas 56.2% / Vaqueros de Bayamon 43.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Regatas de San Nicolas - Vaqueros de Bayamon
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| П1 -3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П1 -4.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| П1 -5.5 | — | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +4.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| П2 +5.5 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 171.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТБ 172.5 | — | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| ТБ 173.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТМ 171.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| ТМ 172.5 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| ТМ 173.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.59 62.9% |
| П2 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.22 45.1% |
Regatas de San Nicolas
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Vaqueros de Bayamon
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Full head-to-head historyRegatas de San Nicolas - Vaqueros de Bayamon