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PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
14.07.2026 22:00 MSK Match prediction
14.07.2026 22:00 MSK
Finished

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

San German - Leones de Ponce

Basketball
San German
San German
91 : 95
Finished
Leones de Ponce
Leones de Ponce
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 San German — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · San German): model 54% · market 57% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · San German ✓ Прогноз61.2%
market57%
2 · Leones de Ponce38.8%
market44%

Model estimate: win San German 61.2%, win Leones de Ponce 38.8%. Model favourite — San German.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1San German (odds1.74) confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San German - Leones de Ponce 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like San German.

Line favourite market consensus: San German. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / 2 2.26
  • Glicko: San German 61.2% / Leones de Ponce 38.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 1.7%
1 ✓ Прогноз 56.5%
2 43.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 01:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

San German - Leones de Ponce

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 91:95
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
San German 61.7% 61.2% market and model agree
Leones de Ponce 38.3% 38.8%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 61.2% / 38.8% probabilities
Rating 1,587 / 1,571 San German / Leones de Ponce
RD 153 / 135 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,281-1,893 / 1,302-1,841 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.06 market consensus · no value · model 38.8%
1 1.68 market consensus · weak value +2.8% · model 61.2%
Total
Over 177.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 178.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 +1.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
П1 -1.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
П1 -2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% —
П1 -3.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
П1 -4.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
П2 +1.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
П2 +2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% —
П2 +3.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
П2 +4.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5 — 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
ТБ 177.5 — 1.85 54.1% —
ТБ 178.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 179.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
ТБ 180.5 — 1.83 54.6% 1.74 57.5%
ТБ 181.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 182.5 — 1.83 54.6% —
ТМ 177.5 — 1.85 54.1% —
ТМ 178.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 179.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
ТМ 180.5 — 1.87 53.5% —
ТМ 182.5 — 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.57 63.7%
П2 1.96 51.0% 1.97 50.8% 2.26 44.3%
Match center
San German
L W
12.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
San German 96:115 Leones PonseLeones Ponse
10.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
San German 88:75 Leones PonseLeones Ponse
1 Wins
1 Losses
92.0 Scored
95.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Leones de Ponce
W L
12.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Leones de Ponce 115:96 San-KhermanSan-Kherman
10.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Leones de Ponce 75:88 San-KhermanSan-Kherman
1 Wins
1 Losses
95.0 Scored
92.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySan German - Leones de Ponce

San German
2 matches total
Leones de Ponce
San German: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Leones de Ponce: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Leones Ponse 96:115 (12.07 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 211 goals (96:115, 12.07 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
San-Kherman
96:115
Leones Ponse
10.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
San-Kherman
88:75
Leones Ponse