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Puerto Rico. Superior Nacional. Quarter-finals. Best of 7
Puerto Rico. Superior Nacional. Quarter-finals. Best of 7
04.06.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
04.06.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Puerto Rico. Superior Nacional. Quarter-finals. Best of 7

Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo

Basketball
Leones de Ponce
Leones de Ponce
101 : 92
Finished
Capitanes de Arecibo
Capitanes de Arecibo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo June 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Leones de Ponce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 89.9%
2 10.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.06.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 102.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.85 35.1%
2.45 40.8%
2.75 36.4%
2.30 43.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.60 38.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.38 72.5%
1.38 72.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.88 53.2%
2.50 40.0%
2.20 45.5%
1.45 69.0%
2.40 41.7%
1.43 69.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 102.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 173.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 174.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 175.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 176.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 177.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 178.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 179.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 180.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 181.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 182.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 183.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 184.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 185.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 186.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 187.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 188.5 1.68 59.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
9.00 11.1%
Match center
Leones de Ponce
W L L L L
02.06 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN
Leones de Ponce 101:78 Mets de GuayanaboMets de Guayanabo
31.05 20:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN
Leones de Ponce 90:92 Indios de MayyagesIndios de Mayyages
29.05 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN
Leones de Ponce 86:87 Piratas KebradilyasPiratas Kebradilyas
25.05 00:25 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN
Leones de Ponce 80:85 Gigantes de KarolinaGigantes de Karolina
22.05 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN
Leones de Ponce 68:84 San-KhermanSan-Kherman
1 Wins
4 Losses
85.0 Scored
85.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Capitanes de Arecibo
L L W L
02.06 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo 79:113 Criollos de CaguasCriollos de Caguas
01.06 00:18 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo 82:88 Piratas KebradilyasPiratas Kebradilyas
23.05 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo 95:85 Indios de MayyagesIndios de Mayyages
21.05 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo 83:87 Kangrekheros de SanturseKangrekheros de Santurse
1 Wins
3 Losses
84.8 Scored
93.3 Conceded
25% Win percentage