Rwanda. RBL D2
Kicukiro - UR Kigali
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 UR Kigali — 55%
Pure model vs market (2 · UR Kigali): model 48% · market 55% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Kicukiro 44.9%, win UR Kigali 55.1%. Model favourite — UR Kigali.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Kichukiro: forma V (1-0)
- • UR Kigali: forma V (1-0)
- • Model backs UR Kigali: probability 55% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
- • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Over 152.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 152.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F1 +2.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kicukiro - UR Kigali July 31, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.07 / 2 1.67
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Kicukiro - UR Kigali
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 152.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 152.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | |
| 1.66 60.2% | 1.67 59.9% |
Kicukiro
UR Kigali
Full head-to-head historyKicukiro - UR Kigali
Match history
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The Kicukiro - UR Kigali breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form