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Serie A2
Serie A2 Italy
08.05.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction
08.05.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A2

Italy

Estra Pistoia - Talos Ruvo di Puglia

Italy Basketball
Estra Pistoia
Estra Pistoia
79 : 78
Finished
Talos Ruvo di Puglia
Talos Ruvo di Puglia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Estra Pistoia - Talos Ruvo di Puglia May 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Talos Ruvo di Puglia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.90 / 2 1.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 48.6%
2 51.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

Estra Pistoia - Talos Ruvo di Puglia

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 154.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 155.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.80 55.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.73 57.9% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
2.00 50.0% —
— 1.84 54.4%
— 1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome 10Bet
Over 155.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 158.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 160.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 165.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 166 1.85 54.1%
Over 166.5 1.91 52.4%
Over 170.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 171.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 155.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 158.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 160.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 162.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 165.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 166 1.83 54.6%
Under 166.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 170.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 171.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
1.25 80.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.65 60.8% 3.25 30.8% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6%
3.60 27.8% 2.50 39.9% 2.12 47.2% 1.29 77.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 4.51 22.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.40 41.7%
Match center
Estra Pistoia
W L L L
05.05 18:30 UTC Serie A2
Estra Pistoia 97:90 Talos Ruvo di PugliaTalos Ruvo di Puglia
03.05 17:00 UTC Serie A2
Estra Pistoia 85:100 Talos Ruvo di PugliaTalos Ruvo di Puglia
26.04 16:00 UTC Serie A2
Estra Pistoia 86:99 Benedetto XIV CentoBenedetto XIV Cento
11.04 18:00 UTC Serie A2
Estra Pistoia 48:93 UEB CividaleUEB Cividale
1 Wins
3 Losses
79.0 Scored
95.5 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Talos Ruvo di Puglia
L W W L
05.05 18:30 UTC Serie A2
Talos Ruvo di Puglia 90:97 Estra Pistoia
03.05 17:00 UTC Serie A2
Talos Ruvo di Puglia 100:85 Estra Pistoia
26.04 16:00 UTC Serie A2
Talos Ruvo di Puglia 76:74 New Basket Brindisi
12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A2
Talos Ruvo di Puglia 61:88 Avellino BasketAvellino Basket
2 Wins
2 Losses
81.8 Scored
86.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEstra Pistoia - Talos Ruvo di Puglia

Estra Pistoia
2 matches total
Talos Ruvo di Puglia
Estra Pistoia: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Talos Ruvo di Puglia: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Talos Ruvo di Puglia 85:100 (03.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 187 goals (97:90, 05.05 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

05.05 18:30 UTC Serie A2
Estra Pistoia
97:90
Talos Ruvo di Puglia
03.05 17:00 UTC Serie A2
Estra Pistoia
85:100
Talos Ruvo di Puglia