PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff
31.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff

Mexico U20 (w) - Panama U20

Basketball
Mexico U20 (w)
Mexico U20 (w)
59 : 56
Finished
Panama U20
Panama U20

Mexico U20 (w) meet Panama U20 on July 31, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 55% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mexico U20 (w) — 55%

1 · Mexico U20 (w)54.9%
2 · Panama U2045.1%

Model estimate: win Mexico U20 (w) 54.9%, win Panama U20 45.1%. Model favourite — Mexico U20 (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U20 (w) - Panama U20 July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico U20 (w).

Line favourite market consensus: Mexico U20 (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.08 / 2 6.40
  • Glicko: Mexico U20 (w) 54.9% / Panama U20 45.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 85.6%
2 14.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 85.6% @ 1.08 / 2 14.4% @ 6.40
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mexico U20 (w) - Panama U20

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 59:56
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.9% fact: home hit / ROI 8.0% / Brier 0.406 / LogLoss 0.599
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.0% fact: home hit / ROI 8.0% / Brier 0.461 / LogLoss 0.655
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U20 (w) 85.6% 54.9% market and model agree
Panama U20 14.4% 45.1%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 54.9% / 45.1% probabilities
Rating 1,969 / 1,888 Mexico U20 (w) / Panama U20
RD 184 / 228 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,602-2,337 / 1,433-2,344 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.40 market consensus · weak value +188.5% · model 45.1%
1 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 54.9%
Total
Over 119.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 119.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 119.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 119.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.08 92.6%
6.40 15.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Mexico U20 (w)WLLLLLWWLL
Source: ruscore
Mexico U20 (w)
W W W L W
29.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico U20 (w) 85:25 Trinidad i Tobago (Zh)
27.07 22:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico U20 (w) 73:46 Dominican Republic (Zh)Dominican Republic (Zh)
25.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico U20 (w) 62:46 Salvador (Zh)
18.07 23:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women - Playoff
Mexico U20 (w) 68:82 Puerto-Riko (Zh)Puerto-Riko (Zh)
17.07 23:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women - Playoff
Mexico U20 (w) 65:62 United States Virgin Islands (Zh)United States Virgin Islands (Zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
70.6 Scored
52.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Panama U20
W W L W
30.07 19:00 UTC+0 Games Tsentralnoy Ameriki i Karibskogo basseyna. Do 20 let
Panama U20 74:43 Jamaica U20
29.07 17:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Panama U20 72:41 Nikaragua (Zh)Nikaragua (Zh)
27.07 17:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Panama U20 61:70 Puerto-Riko (Zh)Puerto-Riko (Zh)
25.07 14:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Panama U20 70:29 Costa Rica (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Losses
69.3 Scored
45.8 Conceded
75% Win percentage