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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff

Mexico (Zh) - Puerto-Riko (Zh)

Basketball
Mexico (Zh)
Mexico (Zh)
- : -
Not started
Puerto-Riko (Zh)
Puerto-Riko (Zh)

Mexico (Zh) face Puerto-Riko (Zh) on August 2, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mexico (Zh) — 52%

1 · Mexico (Zh)52.0%
2 · Puerto-Riko (Zh)48.0%

Model estimate: win Mexico (Zh) 52.0%, win Puerto-Riko (Zh) 48.0%. Model favourite — Mexico (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico (Zh) - Puerto-Riko (Zh) August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Puerto-Riko (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 4.20 / 2 1.19

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 22.1%
2 77.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 22.1% @ 4.20 / 2 77.9% @ 1.19
Form 3 matches
Match center

Mexico (Zh) - Puerto-Riko (Zh)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico (Zh) 22.1% 52.0% Glicko contrarian
Puerto-Riko (Zh) 77.9% 48.0% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 52.0% / 48.0% probabilities
Rating 2,030 / 1,500 Mexico (Zh) / Puerto-Riko (Zh)
RD 171 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,689-2,371 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 48.0%
1 4.20 market consensus · weak value +118.6% · model 52.0%
Total
Over 120.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 120.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 120.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 120.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
4.20 23.8%
1.19 84.0%
Match center
Mexico (Zh)
W
31.07 22:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff
Mexico (Zh) 59:56 Panama U20Panama U20
1 Wins
0 Losses
59.0 Scored
56.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Puerto-Riko (Zh)
W W W
31.07 22:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff
Puerto-Riko (Zh) 59:56 Panama U20Panama U20
29.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Puerto-Riko (Zh) 85:25 Trinidad i Tobago (Zh)
27.07 22:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Puerto-Riko (Zh) 73:46 Dominican Republic (Zh)Dominican Republic (Zh)
3 Wins
0 Losses
72.3 Scored
42.3 Conceded
100% Win percentage