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Central American and Caribbean Games. U20
Central American and Caribbean Games. U20
27.07.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Central American and Caribbean Games. U20

Mexico U20 (w) - Dominican Republic U20 (w)

Basketball
Mexico U20 (w)
Mexico U20 (w)
73 : 46
Finished
D
Dominican Republic U20 (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Dominican Republic U20 (w) — 60%

Pure model vs market (2 · Dominican Republic U20 (w)): model 46% · market 9% Δ +37 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Mexico U20 (w)39.8%
market91%
2 · Dominican Republic U20 (w) ✓ Pick60.2%
market9%

Model estimate: win Mexico U20 (w) 39.8%, win Dominican Republic U20 (w) 60.2%. Model favourite — Dominican Republic U20 (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico U20 (w) (odds1.94) Score 81:79 Over 123.5 (odds1.85) ✗ Handicap H1 +1.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Mexico (Zh): forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Dominican Republic (Zh): forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Mexico (Zh): probability 54% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.94)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Total: Over 123.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 123.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U20 (w) - Dominican Republic U20 (w) July 27, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico U20 (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico U20 (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Mexico U20 (w) 39.8% / Dominican Republic U20 (w) 60.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 90.7%
2 ✓ Pick 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.94 ↑ 2.53
Winner 2 1.77 ↓ 1.46

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Mexico U20 (w) - Dominican Republic U20 (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 73:46
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 60.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.724 / LogLoss 0.920
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 54.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.585 / LogLoss 0.778
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U20 (w) 38.8% 39.8%
Dominican Republic U20 (w) 61.2% 60.2% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 39.8% / 60.2% probabilities
Rating 1,855 / 1,809 Mexico U20 (w) / Dominican Republic U20 (w)
RD 204 / 178 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,446-2,264 / 1,453-2,166 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · weak value +501.6% · model 60.2%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 39.8%
Total
Over 110.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Over 111.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1% —
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
— 1.76 56.8%
— 2.03 49.3%
— 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 110.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 111.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 113.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 115.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 116.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 117.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 118.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 119.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 120.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 121.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 122.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 123.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 124.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 126.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 127.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Over 128.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Under 123.5 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
2.25 44.4% 1.02 98.0%
1.56 64.1% 10.00 10.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-07-28 · Mexico U20 (Zh) 73:46 Dominican Republic U20 (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Mexico U20 (w)
W
25.07 20:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico U20 (w) 62:46 Salvador (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
62.0 Scored
46.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Dominican Republic U20 (w)
W
25.07 22:30 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Dominican Republic U20 (w) 96:29 Trinidad i Tobago (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
96.0 Scored
29.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico U20 (w) - Dominican Republic U20 (w)

Mexico U20 (w)
1 matches total
Dominican Republic U20 (w)
Mexico U20 (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Dominican Republic U20 (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Mexico (Zh) 75:64 (13.07 21:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 139 goals (75:64, 13.07 21:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 21:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Mexico (Zh)
75:64
Dominican Republic (Zh)