North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
15.07.2026 19:00 MSK
Finished

North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women

Mexico (w) - Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)

Basketball
Mexico (w)
Mexico (w)
81 : 67
Finished
B
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mexico (w)89%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mexico (w)): model 55% · market 93% Δ −38 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mexico (w) ✓ Прогноз88.9%
market93%
2 · Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)11.1%
market7%

Model estimate: win Mexico (w) 88.9%, win Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 11.1%. Model favourite — Mexico (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (w) (odds1.05) confidence 81% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico (w) - Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico (w).

Line favourite market consensus: Mexico (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.05 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Mexico (w) 88.9% / Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 11.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 2.4%
1 ✓ Прогноз 93.0%
2 7.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 19:00 MSK
Form 4 matches
Match center

Mexico (w) - Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 81:67
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico (w) 91.4% 88.9% market and model agree
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 8.6% 11.1%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 88.9% / 11.1% probabilities
Rating 2,042 / 1,411 Mexico (w) / Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)
RD 246 / 251 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,550-2,535 / 909-1,913 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.10 market consensus · no value · model 11.1%
1 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 88.9%
Total
Over 137.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Over 138.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
П1 -16.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
П1 -21.5 1.84 54.4%
П1 -22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6%
П2 +16.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
П2 +21.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 +22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
ТБ 137.5 1.81 55.3%
ТБ 138.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 137.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 138.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
П1 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1%
П2 14.00 7.1% 9.10 11.0%
Match center
Mexico (w)
W W
14.07 00:00 МСК North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Mexico (w) 75:64 Dominican Republic (Zh)
13.07 02:30 МСК North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Mexico (w) 103:66 Nikaragua (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
89.0 Scored
65.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)
W L
14.07 02:30 МСК North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 73:67 Nikaragua (Zh)
13.07 00:00 МСК North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 65:72 Dominican Republic (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
69.0 Scored
69.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage