North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
16.07.2026 02:30 MSK
Finished

North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women

Nicaragua (w) - Dominican Republic (Zh)

Basketball
Nicaragua (w)
Nicaragua (w)
54 : 90
Finished
D
Dominican Republic (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Dominican Republic (Zh)81%

Pure model vs market (2 · Dominican Republic (Zh)): model 57% · market 88% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nicaragua (w)18.8%
market12%
2 · Dominican Republic (Zh) ✓ Прогноз81.2%
market88%

Model estimate: win Nicaragua (w) 18.8%, win Dominican Republic (Zh) 81.2%. Model favourite — Dominican Republic (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dominican Republic (Zh) (odds1.15) confidence 72% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nicaragua (w) - Dominican Republic (Zh) 16 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dominican Republic (Zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Dominican Republic (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.50 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Nicaragua (w) 18.8% / Dominican Republic (Zh) 81.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.4%
1 12.1%
2 ✓ Прогноз 87.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 6.85 ↓ 5.30
Победитель П2 1.07 ↑ 1.12

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 02:30 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Nicaragua (w) - Dominican Republic (Zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 54:90
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nicaragua (w) 17.0% 18.8%
Dominican Republic (Zh) 83.0% 81.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 18.8% / 81.2% probabilities
Rating 951 / 1,648 Nicaragua (w) / Dominican Republic (Zh)
RD 239 / 232 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 473-1,428 / 1,185-2,112 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 81.2%
1 7.50 Fonbet · no value · model 18.8%
Total
Over 139.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 140.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
П1 +11.5 1.84 54.4%
П1 +12.5 1.79 55.9%
П1 +14.5 1.84 54.4%
П1 +15.5 1.89 52.9%
П1 +16.5 1.89 52.9%
П1 +17.5 1.79 55.9%
П1 +19.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 -10.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -11.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 -12.5 1.89 52.9%
П2 -14.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 -15.5 1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4%
П2 -16.5 1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3%
П2 -17.5 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6%
П2 -19.5 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 139.5 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 140.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 141.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 142.5 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 143.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 144.5 1.78 56.2%
ТМ 140.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 141.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 142.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 4.60 21.7% 5.80 17.2% 7.50 13.3% 5.70 17.5%
П2 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9% 1.03 97.1% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Nicaragua (w)
L L
14.07 02:30 МСК North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Nicaragua (w) 67:73 Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)
13.07 02:30 МСК North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Nicaragua (w) 66:103 Mexico (Zh)
0 Wins
2 Losses
66.5 Scored
88.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Dominican Republic (Zh)
L W
14.07 00:00 МСК North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Dominican Republic (Zh) 64:75 Mexico (Zh)
13.07 00:00 МСК North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Dominican Republic (Zh) 72:65 Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
68.0 Scored
70.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage