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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games - Playoff
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games - Playoff

Dominican Republic - Mexico

Basketball
D
Dominican Republic
- : -
Not started
Mexico
Mexico

Dominican Republic face Mexico on August 2, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games - Playoff.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dominican Republic — 52%

1 · Dominican Republic52.4%
2 · Mexico47.6%

Model estimate: win Dominican Republic 52.4%, win Mexico 47.6%. Model favourite — Dominican Republic.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dominican Republic - Mexico August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Dominican Republic. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.05 / 2 7.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 88.1%
2 11.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dominican Republic
8-2WWWWWLWLWW
points for 83.5points against 75.2
Mexico
7-3LWWWWWLWWL
points for 91.9points against 81.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 88.1% @ 1.05 / 2 11.9% @ 7.80
Form 6 matches
Match center

Dominican Republic - Mexico

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dominican Republic 88.1% 52.4% market and model agree
Mexico 11.9% 47.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 52.4% / 47.6% probabilities
Rating 1,756 / 1,752 Dominican Republic / Mexico
RD 190 / 217 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,376-2,136 / 1,319-2,185 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.80 market consensus · weak value +271.0% · model 47.6%
1 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 52.4%
Total
Over 148.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 148.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 148.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 148.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.05 95.2%
7.80 12.8%
Match center
Dominican Republic
W W W L W
30.07 22:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Dominican Republic 89:60 NikaraguaNikaragua
28.07 22:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Dominican Republic 78:75 Beliz
26.07 22:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Dominican Republic 107:40 GvatemalaGvatemala
09.07 21:30 UTC+0 Cup Ameriki 2029. Otborochnyy etap
Dominican Republic 60:79 Terks i Kaykos
05.07 22:00 UTC+0 AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Dominican Republic 99:76 NikaraguaNikaragua
4 Wins
1 Losses
86.6 Scored
66.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Mexico
L W W L W
30.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Mexico 1:3 Puerto-RikoPuerto-Riko
28.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Mexico 95:63 JamaicaJamaica
26.07 17:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Mexico 66:64 PanamaPanama
06.07 00:00 UTC+0 AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Mexico 93:94 USAUSA
04.07 00:30 UTC+0 AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Mexico 98:79 NikaraguaNikaragua
3 Wins
2 Losses
70.6 Scored
60.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage