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Central American and Caribbean Games. U20
Central American and Caribbean Games. U20
30.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Central American and Caribbean Games. U20

Mexico U20 - Puerto Rico

Basketball
Mexico U20
Mexico U20
1 : 3
Finished
Puerto Rico
Puerto Rico
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Puerto Rico — 52%

1 · Mexico U2047.5%
2 · Puerto Rico52.5%

Model estimate: win Mexico U20 47.5%, win Puerto Rico 52.5%. Model favourite — Puerto Rico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U20 - Puerto Rico July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Puerto Rico.

Line favourite market consensus: Puerto Rico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 4.70 / 2 1.15
  • Glicko: Mexico U20 47.5% / Puerto Rico 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 19.7%
2 80.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mexico U20
7-3LWWWWWLWWL
points for 91.9points against 81.4
Puerto Rico
4-1WWWWL
points for 99.5points against 82.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mexico U20 - Puerto Rico

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 52.5% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.452 / LogLoss 0.645
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 51.0% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.480 / LogLoss 0.673
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U20 19.7% 47.5%
Puerto Rico 80.3% 52.5% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 47.5% / 52.5% probabilities
Rating 1,752 / 1,891 Mexico U20 / Puerto Rico
RD 216 / 248 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,319-2,185 / 1,395-2,386 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 52.5%
1 4.70 market consensus · weak value +123.3% · model 47.5%
Total
Over 144.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 144.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 144.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 144.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
4.70 21.3%
1.15 87.0%
Match center
Mexico U20
W W
28.07 20:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Mexico U20 95:63 Jamaica
26.07 17:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Mexico U20 66:64 Panama
2 Wins
0 Losses
80.5 Scored
63.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Puerto Rico
W W
28.07 17:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Puerto Rico 70:56 Panama
26.07 20:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Puerto Rico 120:41 Jamaica
2 Wins
0 Losses
95.0 Scored
48.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico U20 - Puerto Rico

Mexico U20
0 matches total
Puerto Rico
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history