South American Championship. Women. Group Phase
Colombia (w) - Argentina (w)
Colombia (w) go head-to-head with Argentina (w) on August 4, 2026 in the South American Championship. Women. Group Phase.
Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Argentina (w) — 65%
Pure model vs market (2 · Argentina (w)): model 50% · market 67% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Colombia (w) 34.6%, win Argentina (w) 65.4%. Model favourite — Argentina (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Colombia (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Colombia (w) - Argentina (w) August 4, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / 2 1.42
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Colombia (w) - Argentina (w)
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 130.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 131.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 132.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 133.5 | — | 1.94 51.6% |
| Over 134.5 | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 130.5 | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 131.5 | — | 1.94 51.6% |
| Under 132.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 133.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Under 134.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 34.5% | 2.65 37.7% | |
| 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% |
Full head-to-head historyColombia (w) - Argentina (w)
Match history
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The Colombia (w) - Argentina (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form