South American Championship. Women. Group Phase
Paraguay (w) face Uruguay (w) on August 3, 2026 in the South American Championship. Women. Group Phase.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Paraguay (w) — 71%
Pure model vs market (1 · Paraguay (w)): model 50% · market 71% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Paraguay (w) 71.2%, win Uruguay (w) 28.8%. Model favourite — Paraguay (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.96 51.0% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 128.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 129.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 130.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 131.5 | — | 1.94 51.6% |
| Over 132.5 | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 128.5 | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 129.5 | — | 1.94 51.6% |
| Under 130.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 131.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Under 132.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 80.7% | 1.35 74.1% | |
| 3.60 27.8% | 2.95 33.9% |
Full head-to-head historyParaguay (w) - Uruguay (w)
The Paraguay (w) - Uruguay (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
