Superior Nasional International

15.07.2026 03:00 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 03:00 MSK

Finished

Superior Nasional

Criollos de Caguas - Cangrejeros de Santurce

International Basketball

Criollos de Caguas

100 : 105

Finished

Cangrejeros de Santurce

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Criollos de Caguas — 66%

Pure model vs market (1 · Criollos de Caguas): model 51% · market 14% Δ +37 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Criollos de Caguas ✓ Прогноз66.2%

market14%

2 · Cangrejeros de Santurce33.8%

market86%

Model estimate: win Criollos de Caguas 66.2%, win Cangrejeros de Santurce 33.8%. Model favourite — Criollos de Caguas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Criollos de Caguas (odds1.41) confidence 58% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Criollos de Caguas - Cangrejeros de Santurce 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cangrejeros de Santurce.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cangrejeros de Santurce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.40 / 2 1.05
Glicko: Criollos de Caguas 66.2% / Cangrejeros de Santurce 33.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 10.9%

1 ✓ Прогноз 14.1%

2 85.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.67 ↑ 2.80

Победитель П2 2.07 ↓ 1.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

5Wins5

91.0Points on average93.0

Head-to-head matches: 10 · average total 183.0 (points)

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 03:00 MSK

Form 4 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Criollos de Caguas - Cangrejeros de Santurce

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 100:105

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Criollos de Caguas 67.4% 66.2% market and model agree

Cangrejeros de Santurce 32.6% 33.8%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 66.2% / 33.8% probabilities

Rating 1,851 / 1,773 Criollos de Caguas / Cangrejeros de Santurce

RD 258 / 118 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,335-2,367 / 1,536-2,010 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 33.8%

1 6.40 Fonbet · weak value +323.9% · model 66.2%

Total

Over 168.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only

Over 169.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
П1 +1.5	1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%	—
П1 -1.5	1.89 52.9%	1.90 52.6%	—
П1 -2.5	1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	—
П1 -6.5	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	—
П2 +1.5	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	—
П2 +2.5	1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	—
П2 +6.5	1.89 52.9%	1.90 52.6%	—
П2 -1.5	1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%	1.95 51.3%
П2 -10.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
ТБ 168.5	—	—	1.37 73.0%
ТБ 169.5	—	—	1.45 69.0%
ТБ 192.5	1.81 55.3%	1.82 55.0%	—
ТБ 193.5	1.89 52.9%	1.90 52.6%	—
ТБ 195.5	1.80 55.6%	1.81 55.3%	—
ТБ 196.5	1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%	—
ТМ 192.5	1.87 53.5%	1.88 53.2%	—
ТМ 193.5	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	—
ТМ 195.5	1.88 53.2%	1.89 52.9%	—
ТМ 196.5	1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
П1	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	6.40 15.6%	1.41 70.9%
П2	2.97 33.7%	3.00 33.3%	1.05 95.2%	2.70 37.0%

Match center

Criollos de Caguas

11.07 03:00 МСК Superior Nasional

Criollos de Caguas 98:92 Kangrekheros de Santurse

1 Wins

0 Losses

98.0 Scored

92.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Cangrejeros de Santurce

11.07 03:00 МСК Superior Nasional

Cangrejeros de Santurce 92:98 Kriollos de Kaguas

0 Wins

1 Losses

92.0 Scored

98.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCriollos de Caguas - Cangrejeros de Santurce

Criollos de Caguas

1 matches total

Cangrejeros de Santurce

Criollos de Caguas: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Cangrejeros de Santurce: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Kriollos de Kaguas 98:92 (11.07 03:00 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 190 goals (98:92, 11.07 03:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

11.07 03:00 МСК Superior Nasional

Kriollos de Kaguas

98:92

Kangrekheros de Santurse