Superior Nasional
Regatas de San Nicolas - Vaqueros de Bayamon
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Regatas de San Nicolas — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Regatas de San Nicolas): model 45% · market 17% Δ +28 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Regatas de San Nicolas 56.2%, win Vaqueros de Bayamon 43.8%. Model favourite — Regatas de San Nicolas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Regatas de San Nicolas - Vaqueros de Bayamon 16 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vaqueros de Bayamon.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.20 / 2 1.09
- Glicko: Regatas de San Nicolas 56.2% / Vaqueros de Bayamon 43.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: П1
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total points | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 58% | 42% | 85:81 | ТМ 169.5 | П1 |
| Claude | 58% | 42% | 84:79 | ТМ 164.5 | П1 — победа Гигантес де Каролина (кф 1.62) |
| Kimi | 48% | 52% | 82:86 | ТБ 175.5 | Вакерос де Баямон П2 |
| GLM 5.2 | 64% | 36% | 94:89 | ТБ 180.5 | Ф1 |
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Regatas de San Nicolas - Vaqueros de Bayamon
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| П1 +1.5 | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% |
| П1 -3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П1 -4.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| П1 -5.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П1 -7.5 | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.89 52.9% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +7.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.81 55.3% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.89 52.9% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 131.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 132.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 133.5 | — | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| ТБ 134.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТБ 135.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 136.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТБ 171.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТБ 172.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| ТБ 173.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| ТМ 171.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| ТМ 172.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| ТМ 173.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% | 5.20 19.2% | 1.59 62.9% |
| П2 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 1.09 91.7% | 2.22 45.1% |
Form & head-to-head
Regatas de San Nicolas
Vakeros de Bayamon
Vakeros de Bayamon
Vakeros de Bayamon
Vaqueros de Bayamon
Gigantes de Karolina
Gigantes de Karolina
Gigantes de Karolina
Full head-to-head historyRegatas de San Nicolas - Vaqueros de Bayamon