Superior Nasional
Superior Nasional International
11.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Superior Nasional

San German - Leones de Ponce

International Basketball
San German
San German
88 : 75
Finished
Leones de Ponce
Leones de Ponce
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Leones de Ponce (odds3.43) Score 79:81 Under 175.5 (odds2.03) Handicap H1 +2.5 (odds1.85) confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • линия на пик П2 1.88→1.72 (укоротилась — деньги на пик)
  • Модель ставит на Леонес де Понсе: вероятность 53%
  • Тотал: ТМ 175.5: модель ждёт суммарно ~160 очк
  • при линии 175.5 (кэф 2.03)
  • Фора Ф1 +2.5: покрывает линию (кэф 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San German - Leones de Ponce 11 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: San German. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 88.7%
2 11.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

San German - Leones de Ponce

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 155.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Over 156.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +1.5 1.79 55.9% 1.90 52.6%
П1 +3.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
П1 +4.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
П1 -1.5 1.84 54.4% 1.92 52.1%
П2 +1.5 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2%
П2 -1.5 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.95 51.3%
П2 -10.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -3.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5%
П2 -4.5 1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 155.5 1.42 70.4%
ТБ 156.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 157.5 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 158.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 159.5 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 160.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 161.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 162.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 163.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 164.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 165.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 166.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 167.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 168.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 178.5 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 178.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.76 56.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.02 98.0% 1.81 55.3%
П2 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% 8.00 12.5% 1.90 52.6%