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Uganda. Division 1
Uganda. Division 1 International
02.08.2026 12:00 UTC
02.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Not started

Uganda. Division 1

International

Nkumba Marines - Knight Riders

International Basketball
Nkumba Marines
Nkumba Marines
- : -
Not started
Knight Riders
Knight Riders

Nkumba Marines take on Knight Riders on August 2, 2026 in the Uganda. Division 1, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nkumba Marines 0-0-1, Knight Riders 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Nkumba Marines — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Nkumba Marines): model 38% · market 62% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nkumba Marines ✓ Pick60.3%
market62%
2 · Knight Riders39.7%
market38%

Model estimate: win Nkumba Marines 60.3%, win Knight Riders 39.7%. Model favourite — Nkumba Marines.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nkumba Marines (odds1.49) Score 82:78 Over 122.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +4.5 (odds1.85) confidence 60%
  • • Nkumba Marines: forma P (0-1)
  • • Nayt Rayders: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Nkumba Marines: probability 60% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 122.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 122.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +4.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nkumba Marines - Knight Riders August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nkumba Marines. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 61.7%
2 38.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.50 → 1.50
Pobeditel P2 2.42 → 2.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Market 1 61.7% @ 1.50 / 2 38.3% @ 2.42
Form 2 matches
Match center

Nkumba Marines - Knight Riders

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nkumba Marines 62.0% 60.3% market and model agree
Knight Riders 38.0% 39.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 60.3% / 39.7% probabilities
Rating 1,161 / 1,764 Nkumba Marines / Knight Riders
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 579-1,743 / 1,182-2,346 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 Fonbet · no value · model 39.7%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 60.3%
Total
Over 122.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 122.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 122.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Under 122.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%
2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.47 40.5%
Match center
Nkumba Marines
L
01.08 10:00 UTC Uganda. 1-y Division
Nkumba Marines 9:24 Pauer BK
0 Wins
1 Losses
9.0 Scored
24.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Knight Riders
W
01.08 12:00 UTC Uganda. 1-y Division
Knight Riders 24:12 Tropikal Royals
1 Wins
0 Losses
24.0 Scored
12.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage