Uganda. Division 1
Nkumba Marines - Power BC
Nkumba Marines take on Power BC on August 1, 2026 in the Uganda. Division 1, International.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Nkumba Marines — 64%
Pure model vs market (1 · Nkumba Marines): model 50% · market 54% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Nkumba Marines 64.1%, win Power BC 35.9%. Model favourite — Nkumba Marines.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Nkumba Marines: probability 50% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
- • no edge over the line (-20 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Over 115.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 115.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nkumba Marines - Power BC August 1, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.72 / 2 2.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Now in play
score 7:9 · 7'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
7'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
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Nkumba Marines - Power BC
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.88 53.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 107.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 109.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 111.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 113.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 114.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 115.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 107.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 109.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 111.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 113.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 114.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 115.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.72 58.1% | 1.42 70.4% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.65 37.7% |
Full head-to-head historyNkumba Marines - Power BC
Match history
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The Nkumba Marines - Power BC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form