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Start
21.05.2026 21:00 UTC
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21.05.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished
Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
Aguada - Nasonal
89
:
109
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aguada - Nasonal May 21, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Nasonal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
8.4%
2
91.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Aguada - Nasonal
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5
1.93
Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5
1.97
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.05 48.8% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 2.18 45.9% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| 1.40 71.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 100.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 101.5 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Over 102.5 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Over 164.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 165.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 166.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 167.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 168.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 169.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 170.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 171.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 172.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 173.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 174.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 175.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 176.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 177.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 178.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 1.01 99.0% |
Match center
Aguada
W
Aguada
96:83
Nasonal
Nasonal
1
Wins
0
Losses
96.0
Scored
83.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Nasonal
L
Nasonal
83:96
Aguada
Aguada
0
Wins
1
Losses
83.0
Scored
96.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAguada - Nasonal
Aguada
1
matches total
Aguada: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nasonal: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Aguada 96:83 (18.05 22:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
179 goals (96:83, 18.05 22:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Aguada
96:83
Nasonal
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