Match center
Start
28.05.2026 21:15 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
28.05.2026 21:15 UTC
Finished
Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
Aguada - Nasonal
92
:
91
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aguada - Nasonal May 28, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Aguada. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.47 / 2 2.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 9.7%
1
62.0%
2
38.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Aguada - Nasonal
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.40
Fonbet · line only
1
1.47
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 157.5
1.33
Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5
1.42
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 2.17 46.1% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| 2.08 48.1% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 1.73 57.8% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 1.37 73.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 157.5 | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 159.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 160.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 161.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 162.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 163.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 164.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 165.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 166.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 167.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 168.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 169.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 170.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 171.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 172.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 173.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 174.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 2.40 41.7% |
Match center
Aguada
W
L
W
Aguada
87:74
Nasonal
Nasonal
Aguada
89:109
Nasonal
Nasonal
Aguada
96:83
Nasonal
Nasonal
2
Wins
1
Losses
90.7
Scored
88.7
Conceded
67%
Win percentage
Nasonal
L
W
L
Nasonal
74:87
Aguada
Aguada
Nasonal
109:89
Aguada
Aguada
Nasonal
83:96
Aguada
Aguada
1
Wins
2
Losses
88.7
Scored
90.7
Conceded
33%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAguada - Nasonal
Aguada
3
matches total
Aguada: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nasonal: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win
Nasonal 89:109 (21.05 21:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
198 goals (89:109, 21.05 21:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Aguada
87:74
Nasonal
Aguada
89:109
Nasonal
Aguada
96:83
Nasonal
Unlock the full match prediction
The Aguada - Nasonal breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form