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Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
22.05.2026 22:15 UTC Match prediction
22.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Finished

Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Defensor Sporting - Penyarol

Basketball
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
61 : 81
Finished
Penyarol
Penyarol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Defensor Sporting - Penyarol May 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penyarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Match center

Defensor Sporting - Penyarol

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 143.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 144.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
1.43 69.9%
1.50 66.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.42 70.4%
2.60 38.5%
2.65 37.7%
1.95 51.3%
2.60 38.5%
2.60 38.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.53 65.4%
1.63 61.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 143.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 144.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 145.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 146.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 147.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 148.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 149.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 150.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 151.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 152.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 153.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 154.5 3.05 32.8%
Over 155.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 156.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 157.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 158.5 3.05 32.8%
Over 159.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 160.5 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
Match center
Penyarol
W
19.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
Penyarol 101:51 Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1 Wins
0 Losses
101.0 Scored
51.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage