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Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
18.05.2026 22:15 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Finished

Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Nasonal - Aguada

Basketball
Nasonal
Nasonal
83 : 96
Finished
Aguada
Aguada

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nasonal - Aguada May 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Aguada. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.70 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 15.8%
2 84.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Match center

Nasonal - Aguada

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 172.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
2.30 43.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.90 34.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.53 65.4%
1.78 56.2%
1.42 70.4%
1.55 64.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.45 69.0%
1.45 69.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 171.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 172.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 173.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 174.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 175.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 176.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 177.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 178.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 179.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 180.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 181.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 182.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 183.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 184.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 185.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 186.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 187.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 188.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.70 17.5%
1.07 93.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNasonal - Aguada

Nasonal
0 matches total
Aguada
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history