Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

25.05.2026 21:15 UTC Match prediction

25.05.2026 21:15 UTC

Finished

Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Nasonal - Aguada

Basketball

Nasonal

74 : 87

Finished

Aguada

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nasonal - Aguada May 25, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nasonal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.38 / 2 2.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 67.0%

2 33.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Stadium Polideportivo Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)

Referee Dutra J. 🇺🇾 - Salgueiro Marti G. 🇺🇾 - Dorrego Sosa V. 🇺🇾

Start 25.05.2026 21:15 UTC

Match center

Nasonal - Aguada

Array

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.80 Fonbet · line only

1 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 174.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Over 175.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.72 58.1%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.12 47.2%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.64 61.0%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 91.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 174.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 175.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 176.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 177.5	1.94 51.6%
Over 178.5	2.03 49.3%
Under 91.5	1.82 55.0%
Under 174.5	2.03 49.3%
Under 175.5	1.94 51.6%
Under 176.5	1.85 54.1%
Under 177.5	1.77 56.5%
Under 178.5	1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.38 72.5%
	2.80 35.7%

Match center

Nasonal

W L

21.05 21:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Nasonal 109:89 Aguada

18.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Nasonal 83:96 Aguada

1 Wins

1 Losses

96.0 Scored

92.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Aguada

L W

21.05 21:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 89:109 Nasonal

18.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 96:83 Nasonal

1 Wins

1 Losses

92.5 Scored

96.0 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNasonal - Aguada

Nasonal

2 matches total

Aguada

Nasonal: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Aguada: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Nasonal 109:89 (21.05 21:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 198 goals (109:89, 21.05 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

21.05 21:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Nasonal

109:89

Aguada

18.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Nasonal

83:96

Aguada

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Nasonal

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Aguada

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Penyarol 3:0 (8) Urunday

1/4 (4) Malvin streak (5) Defensor Sporting

1/4 (2) Nasonal streak (7) Bigua

1/4 (3) Khebraika and Makabi streak (6) Aguada