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Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

03.06.2026 22:15 UTC Match prediction

03.06.2026 22:15 UTC

Finished

Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol - Aguada

Basketball

Penyarol

99 : 82

Finished

Aguada

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penyarol - Aguada June 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penyarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 9.7%

1 79.3%

2 20.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Palasio Penarol (Montevideo)

Referee Laulhe A. 🇺🇾 - Salgueiro Marti G. 🇺🇾 - Ferreira E. 🇺🇾

Start 03.06.2026 22:15 UTC

Match center

Penyarol - Aguada

Array

Form 3/4 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.40 Fonbet · line only

1 1.15 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 160.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Over 161.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.35 42.6%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.53 65.4%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.82 55.0%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.48 67.6%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.45 69.0%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.25 44.4%
	2.02 49.5%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 160.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 161.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 162.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 163.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 164.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 165.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 166.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 168.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 169.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 170.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 171.5	1.78 56.2%
Over 172.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 173.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 174.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 175.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 176.5	1.30 76.9%
Over 177.5	1.38 72.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	BetBoom	Fonbet
	3.00 33.3%	1.15 87.0%
	1.32 75.8%	4.40 22.7%

Match center

Penyarol

W W W

26.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol 93:81 Defensor Sporting

22.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol 81:61 Defensor Sporting

19.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol 101:51 Defensor Sporting

3 Wins

0 Losses

91.7 Scored

64.3 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Aguada

W W L W

28.05 21:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 92:91 Nasonal

25.05 21:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 87:74 Nasonal

21.05 21:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 89:109 Nasonal

18.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 96:83 Nasonal

3 Wins

1 Losses

91.0 Scored

89.3 Conceded

75% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenyarol - Aguada

Penyarol

0 matches total

Aguada

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Penyarol

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Aguada

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Penyarol 3:0 (8) Urunday

1/4 (4) Malvin streak (5) Defensor Sporting

1/4 (2) Nasonal streak (7) Bigua

1/4 (3) Khebraika and Makabi streak (6) Aguada