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Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

09.06.2026 22:15 UTC Match prediction

09.06.2026 22:15 UTC

Finished

Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol - Aguada

Basketball

Penyarol

89 : 84

Finished

Aguada

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penyarol - Aguada June 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penyarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 7.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 10.2%

1 88.1%

2 11.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Palasio Penarol (Montevideo)

Referee Ortis D. 🇺🇾 - Dorrego Sosa V. 🇺🇾 - Dutra J. 🇺🇾

Start 09.06.2026 22:15 UTC

Match center

Penyarol - Aguada

Array

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.60 Fonbet · line only

1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 164.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Over 165.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.55 39.2%
	1.64 61.0%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.70 37.0%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.82 55.0%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.40 71.4%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.65 37.7%
	2.30 43.5%
	1.58 63.3%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 164.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 165.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 166.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 168.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 169.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 170.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 171.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 172.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 173.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 174.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 175.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 176.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 177.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 178.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 179.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 180.5	1.42 70.4%
Over 181.5	1.53 65.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Bet365	Bet365 (no latency)	BetBoom	Betfair	Fonbet	Leon
	2.97 33.7%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.34 74.6%	1.03 97.1%	1.31 76.3%
	1.33 75.2%	3.35 29.9%	3.35 29.9%	3.20 31.3%	3.75 26.7%	7.60 13.2%	3.14 31.9%

Match center

Penyarol

W W W W

03.06 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol 99:82 Aguada

26.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol 93:81 Defensor Sporting

22.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol 81:61 Defensor Sporting

19.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol 101:51 Defensor Sporting

4 Wins

0 Losses

93.5 Scored

68.8 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Aguada

L W W L W

03.06 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 82:99 Penyarol

28.05 21:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 92:91 Nasonal

25.05 21:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 87:74 Nasonal

21.05 21:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 89:109 Nasonal

18.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Aguada 96:83 Nasonal

3 Wins

2 Losses

89.2 Scored

91.2 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenyarol - Aguada

Penyarol

1 matches total

Aguada

Penyarol: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Aguada: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Penyarol 99:82 (03.06 22:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 181 goals (99:82, 03.06 22:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

03.06 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol

99:82

Aguada

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Penyarol

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Aguada

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Penyarol 3:0 (8) Urunday

1/4 (4) Malvin streak (5) Defensor Sporting

1/4 (2) Nasonal streak (7) Bigua

1/4 (3) Khebraika and Makabi streak (6) Aguada