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Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
19.05.2026 22:15 UTC Match prediction
19.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Finished

Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol - Defensor Sporting

Basketball
Penyarol
Penyarol
101 : 51
Finished
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penyarol - Defensor Sporting May 19, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penyarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 6.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 86.9%
2 13.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Match center

Penyarol - Defensor Sporting

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 143.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 144.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.77 56.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.20 45.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.53 65.4%
2.35 42.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.08 48.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.73 57.8%
1.65 60.6%
2.40 41.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 143.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 144.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 145.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 146.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 147.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 148.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 149.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 150.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 151.5 3.05 32.8%
Over 152.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 153.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 154.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 155.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 156.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 157.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 158.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 159.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 160.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
6.90 14.5%