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Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
26.05.2026 22:15 UTC Match prediction
26.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Finished

Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff

Penyarol - Defensor Sporting

Basketball
Penyarol
Penyarol
93 : 81
Finished
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penyarol - Defensor Sporting May 26, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penyarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Palasio Penarol (Montevideo)
Referee Rial M. 🇺🇾 - Sanchez Varela A. 🇺🇾 - Bartel Maina A. 🇺🇾
Start 26.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Match center

Penyarol - Defensor Sporting

Array

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 111.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.77 56.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.45 69.0%
1.40 71.4%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.43 69.9%
1.50 66.7%
2.70 37.0%
2.45 40.8%
2.18 45.9%
2.00 50.0%
1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 111.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 156.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 157.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 158.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 159.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 160.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 161.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 162.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 163.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 164.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 165.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 166.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 167.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 168.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 169.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 170.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 171.5 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
Match center
Penyarol
W W
22.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
Penyarol 81:61 Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
19.05 22:15 UTC Uruguay: Liga Urugvaya - Playoff
Penyarol 101:51 Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
2 Wins
0 Losses
91.0 Scored
56.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Penyarol
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Defensor Sporting

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Penyarol 3:0 (8) Urunday
1/4 (4) Malvin streak (5) Defensor Sporting
1/4 (2) Nasonal streak (7) Bigua
1/4 (3) Khebraika and Makabi streak (6) Aguada