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Uruguay - Liga Urugvaya
Uruguay - Liga Urugvaya Uruguay
06.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Finished

Uruguay - Liga Urugvaya

Uruguay

Malvín - Defensor Sporting

Uruguay Basketball
Malvín
Malvín
90 : 92
Finished
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Malvín - Defensor Sporting May 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Malvín. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 65.0%
2 35.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 22:15 UTC
Match center

Malvín - Defensor Sporting

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Dafabet
1.86 53.8% 1.33 75.0% 1.42 70.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 6.00 16.7% 2.21 45.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
1.82 55.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.70 37.0% 6.00 16.7% 4.00 25.0% 1.08 92.6% 4.15 24.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%