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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA. Outrights

Atlanta Drim (Zh) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Basketball
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
- : -
Not started
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)

Atlanta Drim (Zh) meet Phoenix Mercury (w) on August 5, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atlanta Drim (Zh) 4-0-1, Phoenix Mercury (w) 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Atlanta Drim (Zh) — 61%

1 · Atlanta Drim (Zh) ✓ Pick61.3%
market66%
2 · Phoenix Mercury (w)38.7%
market34%

Model estimate: win Atlanta Drim (Zh) 61.3%, win Phoenix Mercury (w) 38.7%. Model favourite — Atlanta Drim (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atlanta Drim (Zh) (odds1.63) Score 82:78 confidence 61%
  • • Atlanta Drim (Zh): forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Finiks Merkyuri (Zh): forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Atlanta Drim (Zh): probability 61% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atlanta Drim (Zh) - Phoenix Mercury (w) August 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Atlanta Drim (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / 2 3.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.8% 3 books · best price +2.1%
1 ✓ Pick 66.0%
2 34.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Atlanta Drim (Zh)
#6GP 2313-10PPG 87.7OPP 84.4
Phoenix Mercury (w)
#12GP 248-16PPG 82.6OPP 86.6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Atlanta Drim (Zh)
1-4LLLLW
points for 87.7points against 83.7
Phoenix Mercury (w)
5-5WWLLLLWLWW
points for 84.9points against 85.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 67.1% @ 1.47 / 2 32.9% @ 3.00
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Atlanta Drim (Zh) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H Overview
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atlanta Drim (Zh) - 61.3% model pick
Phoenix Mercury (w) - 38.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 61.3% / 38.7% probabilities
Rating 1,699 / 1,399 Atlanta Drim (Zh) / Phoenix Mercury (w)
RD 115 / 128 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,469-1,930 / 1,142-1,655 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.86 market consensus · no value · model 38.7%
1 1.44 market consensus · no value · model 61.3%
Total
Over 179.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 179.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 179.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 179.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0%
2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.77 36.1%
Match center
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
L W W W W
03.08 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 87:109 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
31.07 23:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 98:89 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
29.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 82:81 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
19.07 18:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 93:91 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 111:92 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
94.2 Scored
92.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Phoenix Mercury (w)
W L W L
04.08 01:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 106:101 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
01.08 19:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 92:94 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
22.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 86:82 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
19.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 83:96 Konnektikut San (Zh)Konnektikut San (Zh)
2 Wins
2 Losses
91.8 Scored
93.3 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtlanta Drim (Zh) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Atlanta Drim (Zh)
1 matches total
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Atlanta Drim (Zh): 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Phoenix Mercury (w): 0 (0%)
Biggest win Atlanta Drim (Zh) 82:80 (24.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 162 goals (82:80, 24.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

24.05 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
82:80
Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)