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WNBA
WNBA
04.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

Atlanta Drim (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w)

Basketball
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
83 : 88
Finished
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Atlanta Drim (Zh) — 61%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atlanta Drim (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w) July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atlanta Drim (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / 2 2.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 54.5%
2 45.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Atlanta Drim (Zh)
#6GP 2313-10PPG 87.7OPP 84.4
Golden State Valkyries (w)
#3GP 2013-7

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins3
40.0%Win %60.0%
77.0Points per game75.2
97.4Offensive rating80.9
95.1Defensive rating82.8
1.8Point differential-1.8
55.2Assists50.4
94.2Rebounds92.4
29.0%3-pointers, %35.0%

Team form

Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Overall LLLLW Net +8.0
Home W Net +19.0
Away LLLLW Net +0.7
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Overall WWWLL Net +9.8
Home WWWL Net +15.5
Away LW Net -0.9

Team stats

Atlanta Drim (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Golden State Valkyries (w)
60.0%H 75.0% · A 50.0%Win %65.0%H 76.9% · A 42.9%
8.0H 19.0 · A 0.7Point differential9.8H 15.5 · A -0.9
87.7H 93.6 · A 83.8Points per game82.8H 83.3 · A 81.7
83.7H 84.1 · A 83.4Conceded77.9H 75.5 · A 82.1
43.0%H 45.9% · A 41.0%FG, %40.9%H 42.0% · A 38.7%
45.0H 50.0 · A 41.71st half75.0H 76.9 · A 71.4
82.5H 83.8 · A 81.6Pace78.4H 78.4 · A 78.5
105.8H 104.6 · A 106.7Offensive rating104.7H 104.7 · A 104.7
101.0H 99.8 · A 101.9Defensive rating98.5H 98.5 · A 98.5

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Atlanta Drim (Zh) Total (over) Golden State Valkyries (w)
87.7 Points per game 82.8
70.0%
O 81.5
50.0%
60.0%
O 82.5
45.0%
60.0%
O 83.5
45.0%
55.0%
O 84.5
40.0%
55.0%
O 85.5srednee
40.0%
45.0%
O 86.5
40.0%
45.0%
O 87.5
30.0%
45.0%
O 88.5
30.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Atlanta Drim (Zh) Total (over) Golden State Valkyries (w)
15.0%
O 103.5
0.0%
15.0%
O 104.5
0.0%
15.0%
O 105.5
0.0%
15.0%
O 106.5
0.0%
15.0%
O 107.5
0.0%
10.0%
O 108.5
0.0%
5.0%
O 109.5
0.0%
5.0%
O 110.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Atlanta Drim (Zh) 42.3 / Golden State Valkyries (w) 42.5

Atlanta Drim (Zh) Total (over) Golden State Valkyries (w)
50.0%
O 40.5
75.0%
45.0%
O 41.5
65.0%
45.0%
O 42.5srednee
60.0%
45.0%
O 43.5
60.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Atlanta Drim (Zh) 45.5 / Golden State Valkyries (w) 40.3

Atlanta Drim (Zh) Total (over) Golden State Valkyries (w)
65.0%
O 41.5
45.0%
55.0%
O 42.5srednee
40.0%
50.0%
O 43.5
35.0%
45.0%
O 44.5
30.0%

Lineups and availability

Injuries and lineups

Atlanta Dream
  • Aaliyah Nye GOut
    Nye (knee) is out for Saturday's game against the Valkyries.
  • Brionna Jones F • SurgeryOut
    The Dream expect Jones (knee) to resume team activities in the coming weeks, per Myles Ehrlich of Winsidr.com.
Golden State Valkyries
  • Iliana Rupert COut
    Rupert is pregnant, and the Valkyries have filed for a replacement contract ahead of the 2026 season, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports Thursday.

Injury and player availability data: ESPN. For reference.

Form and head-to-head • WNBA

Team stats

Atlanta Drim (Zh)
WLWWWWLLLL
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:89.6 : 88.1
2 place, 32 pts
Golden State Valkyries (w)
LWWWWLLWWW
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:79 : 75.6
3 place, 33 pts
Head-to-head: 5 — Atlanta Drim (Zh) 2, draws 0, Golden State Valkyries (w) 3 (goals 385:376)
  • Golden State Valkyries — Atlanta Dream2026-06-27 78:75
  • Golden State Valkyries — Atlanta Dream2026-06-25 77:66
  • Golden State Valkyries — Atlanta Dream2025-08-18 63:79
  • Atlanta Dream — Golden State Valkyries2025-07-29 75:77
  • Atlanta Dream — Golden State Valkyries2025-07-07 90:81

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Well rested
  • Rest days: 9
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Atlanta Drim (Zh)
168.4 points/match (over 10)
  • Scores: 87
  • Concedes: 81.4
Golden State Valkyries (w)
159.3 points/match (over 10)
  • Scores: 79.3
  • Concedes: 80
Total line: 163.5 · projection from form: 163.9 · Over in 45% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Atlanta Drim (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 150.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 151.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% —
— 2.02 49.5%
— 2.60 38.5%
1.90 52.6% 3.05 32.8%
1.90 52.6% 3.50 28.6%
— 1.72 58.1%
— 1.35 74.1%
— 1.35 74.1%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 1.48 67.6%
— 1.37 73.0%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.30 76.9%
— 1.57 63.7%
— 1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 150.5 — 1.40 71.4%
Over 151.5 — 1.50 66.7%
Over 152.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 153.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 154.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 155.5 — 1.23 81.3%
Over 156.5 — 1.43 69.9%
Over 157.5 — 1.57 63.7%
Over 158.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 159.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 160.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Over 161.5 1.90 52.6% 2.20 45.5%
Over 162.5 1.87 53.5% —
Over 163.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 161.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 162.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 163.5 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.58 63.3%
2.50 40.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.47 40.5%
Match center
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
L W L W W
02.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 76:81 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
14.06 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 102:77 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
11.06 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 90:104 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
09.06 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 82:75 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
06.06 20:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 109:77 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
91.8 Scored
82.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Golden State Valkyries (w)
W W L L W
13.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 76:72 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
10.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 87:81 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
06.06 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 79:84 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
04.06 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 84:87 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
03.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 95:77 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
84.2 Scored
80.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage