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WNBA. Outrights

03.08.2026 01:00 UTC

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WNBA. Outrights

Chikago Skay (Zh) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Basketball

Chikago Skay (Zh)

- : -

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Phoenix Mercury (w)

Chikago Skay (Zh) face Phoenix Mercury (w) on August 3, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chikago Skay (Zh) 3-0-2, Phoenix Mercury (w) 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chikago Skay (Zh) — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chikago Skay (Zh)): model 59% · market 51% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Chikago Skay (Zh)51.9%

2 · Phoenix Mercury (w)48.1%

Model estimate: win Chikago Skay (Zh) 51.9%, win Phoenix Mercury (w) 48.1%. Model favourite — Chikago Skay (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chikago Skay (Zh) (odds1.81) Score 81:79 confidence 53%

• Chikago Skay (Zh): forma VVPPV (3-2)
• Finiks Merkyuri (Zh): forma PVVPP (2-3)
• ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
• Model backs Chikago Skay (Zh): probability 53% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
• no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chikago Skay (Zh) - Phoenix Mercury (w) August 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Chikago Skay (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / 2 1.97

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 4.0%

1 51.2%

2 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Chikago Skay (Zh)

2-3LWWLL

points for 86.4points against 89.5

Phoenix Mercury (w)

5-5WWLLLLWLWW

points for 84.9points against 85.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 03.08.2026 01:00 UTC

Market 1 51.2% @ 1.88 / 2 48.8% @ 1.97

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Chikago Skay (Zh) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/4 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Chikago Skay (Zh) 51.4% 51.9% market and model agree

Phoenix Mercury (w) 48.6% 48.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 51.9% / 48.1% probabilities

Rating 1,578 / 1,399 Chikago Skay (Zh) / Phoenix Mercury (w)

RD 122 / 128 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,335-1,821 / 1,142-1,655 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: P1 | odds 1.88 | edge 7.4% | ROI 10.1% | BetBoom

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.96 market consensus · no value · model 48.1%

1 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 51.9%

Total

Over 175.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Over 177.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.96 51.0%
	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
Over 175.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%
Over 177.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%
Under 175.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%
Under 177.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%
	1.96 51.0%	1.96 51.0%	1.97 50.8%

Match center

Chikago Skay (Zh)

W W L L W

31.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Chikago Skay (Zh) 84:83 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)

30.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Chikago Skay (Zh) 94:88 Konnektikut San (Zh)

22.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Chikago Skay (Zh) 94:95 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)

19.07 18:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Chikago Skay (Zh) 91:93 Atlanta Drim (Zh)

17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA

Chikago Skay (Zh) 96:82 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

91.8 Scored

88.2 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Phoenix Mercury (w)

L W L L

01.08 19:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) 92:94 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)

22.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) 86:82 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

19.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) 83:96 Konnektikut San (Zh)

18.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) 83:96 Konnektikut San (Zh)

1 Wins

3 Losses

86.0 Scored

92.0 Conceded

25% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChikago Skay (Zh) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Chikago Skay (Zh)

1 matches total

Phoenix Mercury (w)

Chikago Skay (Zh): 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Phoenix Mercury (w): 0 (0%)

Biggest win Chikago Skay (Zh) 77:66 (08.07 00:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 143 goals (77:66, 08.07 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Chikago Skay (Zh)

77:66

Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)