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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
18.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
18.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Konnektikut San (Zh)

Basketball
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)
83 : 96
Finished
Konnektikut San (Zh)
Konnektikut San (Zh)

Phoenix Mercury (w) go head-to-head with Konnektikut San (Zh) on July 18, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Phoenix Mercury (w) 1-0-4, Konnektikut San (Zh) 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Konnektikut San (Zh) (odds1.72) Score 79:81 confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Finiks Merkyuri (Zh): forma PPPPV (1-4)
  • • Konnektikut San (Zh): forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Konnektikut San (Zh): probability 58% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - Konnektikut San (Zh) July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Phoenix Mercury (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / 2 2.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.9% 3 books
1 61.2%
2 38.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Phoenix Mercury (w)
5-5WWLLLLWLWW
points for 84.9points against 85.7
Konnektikut San (Zh)
2-8LLLLLLLWWL
points for 83.3points against 85.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 61.4% @ 1.57 / 2 38.6% @ 2.50
Match center

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Konnektikut San (Zh)

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.47 market consensus · line only
1 1.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 162.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Over 163 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% — 1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.96 51.0%
1.95 51.3% — 1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6% — 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1% — 1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 162.5 1.87 53.5% — 1.88 53.2%
Over 163 — — 1.93 51.8%
Over 163.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% —
Over 164.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% —
Under 162.5 1.93 51.8% — 1.93 51.8%
Under 163 — — 1.88 53.2%
Under 163.5 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 164.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.56 64.1% 1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7%
2.43 41.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.48 40.3%
Match center
Phoenix Mercury (w)
L L L L W
13.07 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 100:104 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
11.07 20:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 58:106 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
10.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 89:92 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
08.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 66:77 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
03.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 90:67 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
80.6 Scored
89.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Konnektikut San (Zh)
W L W L
14.07 13:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Konnektikut San (Zh) 90:87 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
08.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Konnektikut San (Zh) 80:86 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
05.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Konnektikut San (Zh) 90:89 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
02.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Konnektikut San (Zh) 83:86 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
2 Wins
2 Losses
85.8 Scored
87.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage