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WNBA
WNBA
10.06.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
10.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

Golden State Valkyries (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Basketball
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
87 : 81
Finished
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Golden State Valkyries (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w) June 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Golden State Valkyries (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.38 / 2 3.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 68.8%
2 31.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Golden State Valkyries (w)
#3GP 2013-7
Phoenix Mercury (w)
#12GP 248-16PPG 82.6OPP 86.6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins4
20.0%Win %80.0%
82.4Points per game84.4
101.9Offensive rating91.3
104.4Defensive rating89.1
-2.0Point differential2.0
63.0Assists63.0
93.0Rebounds100.8
34.2%3-pointers, %42.6%

Team form

Golden State Valkyries (w)
Overall LLWLW Net +10.7
Home WLW Net +15.7
Away LLL Net +4.8
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Overall WWLLL Net -6.5
Home LL Net -18.8
Away WWLL Net +2.3

Team stats

Golden State Valkyries (w) Overall · Home/Away Phoenix Mercury (w)
54.6%H 66.7% · A 40.0%Win %33.3%H 20.0% · A 42.9%
10.7H 15.7 · A 4.8Point differential-6.5H -18.8 · A 2.3
85.8H 86.8 · A 84.6Points per game81.7H 86.0 · A 78.6
80.5H 79.0 · A 82.2Conceded84.9H 95.4 · A 77.4
40.2%H 41.3% · A 38.8%FG, %40.7%H 39.0% · A 41.9%
72.7H 66.7 · A 80.01st half58.3H 40.0 · A 71.4
79.8H 79.9 · A 79.6Pace80.8H 83.0 · A 79.2
106.8H 106.4 · A 107.2Offensive rating101.2H 97.6 · A 103.9
100.1H 99.8 · A 100.5Defensive rating105.2H 101.5 · A 108.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Golden State Valkyries (w) Total (over) Phoenix Mercury (w)
85.8 Points per game 81.7
81.8%
O 80.5
41.7%
72.7%
O 81.5
41.7%
63.6%
O 82.5
41.7%
63.6%
O 83.5srednee
41.7%
54.5%
O 84.5
33.3%
54.5%
O 85.5
33.3%
54.5%
O 86.5
33.3%
45.5%
O 87.5
33.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Golden State Valkyries (w) 43.5 / Phoenix Mercury (w) 41.3

Golden State Valkyries (w) Total (over) Phoenix Mercury (w)
81.8%
O 40.5
58.3%
72.7%
O 41.5
58.3%
63.6%
O 42.5srednee
58.3%
63.6%
O 43.5
41.7%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Golden State Valkyries (w) 42.4 / Phoenix Mercury (w) 40.3

Golden State Valkyries (w) Total (over) Phoenix Mercury (w)
54.5%
O 40.5
41.7%
54.5%
O 41.5srednee
41.7%
45.5%
O 42.5
41.7%
45.5%
O 43.5
33.3%

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Match center
Stadium Cheyz Central (San-Frantsisko)
Referee Cissoko Stephens F. 🇺🇸 - Kent A. 🇺🇸 - Abazi A. 🇺🇸
Start 10.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Golden State Valkyries (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Array

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.05 Fonbet · line only
1 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 152.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 153.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.15 46.5%
1.28 78.1%
1.40 71.4%
1.35 74.1%
1.40 71.4%
1.40 71.4%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.53 65.4%
1.95 51.3%
1.45 69.0%
3.05 32.8%
2.35 42.6%
2.05 48.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 152.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 153.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 154.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 155.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 156.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 157.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 158.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 159.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 160.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 161.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 162.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 163.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 164.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 165.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 166.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 167.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 168.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 169.5 2.80 35.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bettery Fonbet
1.29 77.5% 1.38 72.5%
3.60 27.8% 3.05 32.8%
Match center
Golden State Valkyries (w)
L L W L W
06.06 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 79:84 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
04.06 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 84:87 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
03.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 95:77 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
31.05 17:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 81:91 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
29.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 90:88 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
85.8 Scored
85.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Phoenix Mercury (w)
W W L L L
06.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 78:72 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
04.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 72:68 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
02.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 77:111 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
29.05 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 68:75 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
27.05 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 74:84 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
73.8 Scored
82.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage