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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
22.05.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
22.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

Basketball
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)
88 : 97
Finished
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh) May 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 8.5%
2 91.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)

Main outcome Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Phoenix Mercury (w)
#12GP 248-16PPG 82.6OPP 86.6
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
#9GP 2110-11PPG 89.0OPP 93.2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Phoenix Mercury (w)
5-5WWLLLLWLWW
points for 84.9points against 85.7
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
4-6LLWWWLLWLL
points for 87.6points against 95.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Mortgage Matchup Center (Finiks)
Referee Cross G. 🇺🇸 - Alabanza J. 🇺🇸 - Chang C. 🇺🇸
Attendance 10 953
Start 22.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

Array

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 88:97
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 168.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 169.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.55 39.2%
3.00 33.3%
2.70 37.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.40 41.7%
2.45 40.8%
1.53 65.4%
1.70 58.8%
1.62 61.7%
1.53 65.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.48 67.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 168.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 169.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 170.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 171.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 172.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 173.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 174.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 175.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 176.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 177.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 178.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 179.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 180.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 181.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 182.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 183.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 184.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 185.5 1.35 74.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
1.02 98.0%
Match center
Phoenix Mercury (w)
L
20.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 90:98 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
90.0 Scored
98.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage