WNBA

03.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction

03.07.2026 00:00 UTC

Finished

WNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Siettl Storm (Zh)

Basketball

Phoenix Mercury (w)

90 : 67

Finished

Siettl Storm (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - Siettl Storm (Zh) July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Phoenix Mercury (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%

1 90.7%

2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

34Wins43

44.2%Win %55.8%

79.1Points per game80.5

81.4Offensive rating96.2

82.8Defensive rating94.6

-1.4Point differential1.4

59.5Assists59.2

111.8Rebounds115.1

30.5%3-pointers, %35.9%

Team form

Phoenix Mercury (w)

Overall WWLWL Net -5.7

Home WL Net -11.5

Away WWLL Net -1.8

Siettl Storm (Zh)

Overall WWLLL Net -10.2

Home WWLL Net +2.6

Away LL Net -25.8

Team stats

Phoenix Mercury (w) Overall · Home/Away Siettl Storm (Zh)

35.0%H 25.0% · A 41.7%Win %25.0%H 36.4% · A 11.1%

-5.7H -11.5 · A -1.8Point differential-10.2H 2.6 · A -25.8

84.0H 87.6 · A 81.5Points per game81.1H 84.8 · A 76.6

86.8H 93.4 · A 82.4Conceded86.2H 83.6 · A 89.4

43.1%H 42.6% · A 43.4%FG, %42.2%H 44.3% · A 39.7%

50.0H 62.5 · A 41.71st half35.0H 45.5 · A 22.2

81.2H 83.1 · A 79.9Pace81.5H 81.2 · A 81.9

103.4H 100.1 · A 105.6Offensive rating99.5H 99.7 · A 99.1

106.9H 103.5 · A 109.2Defensive rating105.7H 106.0 · A 105.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Phoenix Mercury (w) Total (over) Siettl Storm (Zh)

84.0 Points per game 81.1

55.0%

O 79.5

45.0%

50.0%

O 80.5

40.0%

45.0%

O 81.5

40.0%

45.0%

O 82.5srednee

40.0%

45.0%

O 83.5

35.0%

40.0%

O 84.5

35.0%

40.0%

O 85.5

35.0%

40.0%

O 86.5

35.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Phoenix Mercury (w) Total (over) Siettl Storm (Zh)

5.0%

O 102.5

10.0%

5.0%

O 103.5

10.0%

5.0%

O 104.5

10.0%

5.0%

O 105.5

5.0%

O 106.5

5.0%

O 107.5

5.0%

O 108.5

5.0%

O 109.5

5.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Phoenix Mercury (w) 42.6 / Siettl Storm (Zh) 40.7

Phoenix Mercury (w) Total (over) Siettl Storm (Zh)

65.0%

O 40.5

65.0%

60.0%

O 41.5srednee

50.0%

55.0%

O 42.5

45.0%

O 43.5

35.0%

2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Phoenix Mercury (w) 41.2 / Siettl Storm (Zh) —

Phoenix Mercury (w) Total (over) Siettl Storm (Zh)

50.0%

O 40.5

40.0%

50.0%

O 41.5srednee

35.0%

50.0%

O 42.5

35.0%

45.0%

O 43.5

30.0%

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Match center

Start 03.07.2026 00:00 UTC

Match center

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Siettl Storm (Zh)

Form 4/4 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 10.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 160.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Over 161.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.30 43.5%
	2.02 49.5%
	2.50 40.0%
	1.67 59.9%
	2.85 35.1%
	1.40 71.4%
	2.85 35.1%
	1.88 53.2%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.45 69.0%
	2.02 49.5%
	2.40 41.7%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.52 65.8%
	1.43 69.9%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 160.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 161.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 162.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 163.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 164.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 165.5	1.40 71.4%
Over 166.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 167.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 168.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 169.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 170.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 171.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 172.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 173.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 174.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 175.5	2.90 34.5%
Over 176.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 177.5	2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.03 97.1%
	10.00 10.0%

Match center

Phoenix Mercury (w)

L L W W

14.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) 102:111 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

11.06 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) 70:85 Dallas Vings (Zh)

06.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) 78:72 Portlend (Zh)

04.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) 72:68 Siettl Storm (Zh)

2 Wins

2 Losses

80.5 Scored

84.0 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Siettl Storm (Zh)

L L L L

11.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Siettl Storm (Zh) 83:88 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

09.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Siettl Storm (Zh) 91:101 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)

04.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Siettl Storm (Zh) 68:72 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)

01.06 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Siettl Storm (Zh) 56:79 Dallas Vings (Zh)

0 Wins

4 Losses

74.5 Scored

85.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPhoenix Mercury (w) - Siettl Storm (Zh)

Phoenix Mercury (w)

1 matches total

Siettl Storm (Zh)

Phoenix Mercury (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Siettl Storm (Zh): 1 (100%)

Biggest win Finiks Merkyuri (Zh) 72:68 (04.06 00:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 140 goals (72:68, 04.06 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

04.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)

72:68

Siettl Storm (Zh)