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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
06.06.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
06.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Portland (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Basketball
Portland (w)
Portland (w)
72 : 78
Finished
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portland (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w) June 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Phoenix Mercury (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.90 / 2 1.12

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 16.0%
2 84.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Portland (w)
2-8LLLLWLWLLL
points for 85.7points against 99.5
Phoenix Mercury (w)
5-5WWLLLLWLWW
points for 84.9points against 85.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Moda Central (Portlend)
Referee Gulbeyan R. 🇺🇸 - Uilyams S. 🇺🇸 - Reed J. 🇺🇸
Attendance 12 046
Start 06.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Portland (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Array

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 5.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 138.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 139.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
2.20 45.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.90 34.5%
2.80 35.7%
3.30 30.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.37 73.0%
1.28 78.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.40 71.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.51 66.2%
1.44 69.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 138.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 139.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 140.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 141.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 142.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 143.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 144.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 145.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 146.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 147.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 148.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 149.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 150.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 151.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 152.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 153.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 154.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 155.5 2.35 42.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.90 17.0%
1.12 89.3%
Match center
Portland (w)
W L W W
30.05 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 100:84 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
30.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 66:86 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
28.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 71:61 Konnektikut San (Zh)Konnektikut San (Zh)
25.05 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 81:74 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Losses
79.5 Scored
76.3 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Phoenix Mercury (w)
W L L L L
04.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 72:68 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
02.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 77:111 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
29.05 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 68:75 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
27.05 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 74:84 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
24.05 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 80:82 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
74.2 Scored
84.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage